Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Odds are against the Washington Wizards (32-40), who are a 7-point underdog when they take the court against the Denver Nuggets (48-24) on March 22, 2023. The game’s over/under is 227.

Nuggets vs. Wizards Odds

  • Nuggets odds to win: -273
  • Wizards odds to win: +222
  • Spread: Nuggets (-7)
  • Total: 227

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, March 22, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
  • TV: NBCS-DC and ALT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Wizards?

Nuggets and Wizards Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 12-11-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 7 points or more.

The Wizards have a 5-6 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 7 points or more this year.

These teams average 229.4 points per game combined, 2.4 more than the over/under of 227.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.5 fewer points per game (226.5) than this game’s total of 227 points.

The Nuggets’ average total in outings this season has been 229.5, 2.5 points higher than the total in this particular game.

The average over/under for Washington’s games this season is 0.6 fewer points than the point total of 227 for this outing.

Denver has a 38-32-2 record against the spread this season.

The Wizards have gone 32-38-2 ATS this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets’ +270 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.6 points per game (seventh in the NBA) while allowing 112.9 per outing (12th in the league).

The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.6 boards on average. They record 42.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 19th in the league, while their opponents pull down 40.2 per outing.

Denver connects on 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.5. It shoots 38.8% from deep while its opponents hit 34.9% from long range.

The Nuggets record 117.2 points per 100 possessions (first in the league), while allowing 113.4 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).

So far in the 2022-23 season, the Nuggets are scoring 7.9 more points per home game on average than on the road (120.6 at home, 112.7 on the road), but are conceding 5.5 fewer points per home game compared to road games (110.1 at home, 115.6 on the road).

Wizards Stats & Insights

The Wizards have a -61 scoring differential, putting up 112.8 points per game (22nd in league) and conceding 113.6 (16th in NBA).

The 43.6 rebounds per game Washington accumulates rank 13th in the league. Their opponents collect 42.6.

The Wizards make 11.2 three-pointers per game (21st in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.9. They shoot 35.7% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.5%.

The Wizards rank 18th in the NBA with 111.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 24th defensively with 114.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Washington is putting up more points at home (113.4 per game) than away (112.3).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic puts up 24.7 points and 11.9 rebounds and 9.9 assists per game.

The Nuggets get three three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope picks up 1.5 takeaways per game, while Aaron Gordon collects 0.8 rejections per contest.

Wizards Key Players to Watch

Kristaps Porzingis is at the top of the Wizards scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 22.9 points per game and 8.4 rebounds per game to go with 2.6 assists per contest this season.

Monte Morris’ per-game averages this season are 10.3 points, 5.2 assists and 3.4 rebounds.

Porzingis cashes in on 2.1 treys per game.

The Wizards’ defensive effort gets a lift from Delon Wright (1.9 steals per game) and Porzingis (1.6 blocks per game).

  • Pick ATS: Wizards (+ 7)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 115 – Wizards 113