Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Miami Marlins (55-48) host the Detroit Tigers (46-57) to open a three-game series at LoanDepot park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. The Marlins are coming off a series split with the Rays, and the Tigers a series loss to the Angels.

The Marlins are favored (-151 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Tigers (+127). The total for this game is 7.5.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 28, 2023 at 7:20 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Marlins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have been favored 50 times and won 31, or 62%, of those games.
  • Miami has entered 24 games this season favored by -151 or more and is 20-4 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of 103 games with a total.
  • The Marlins are 47-56-0 against the spread in their 103 chances this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 85 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (42.4%) in those games.
  • Detroit has a win-loss record of 26-31 when favored by +127 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Detroit has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 104 chances this season.
  • The Tigers are 55-49-0 against the spread in their 104 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett

  • Garrett’s team is 10-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander gave up six earned runs in three innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • Garrett has made 14 starts of five or more innings in 18 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 20 chances this season.
  • Garrett’s team is 8-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Garrett has started, his team is 13-5.
  • In games Garrett has started this season, the teams are 9-9-0 at hitting the over.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Reese Olson

  • The Tigers are sending Olson (1-4) out for his eighth start of the season. He is 1-4 with a 4.53 ERA and 45 strikeouts through 43 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Friday against the San Diego Padres, the right-hander tossed five innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Olson will try to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.3 innings per outing.
  • He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Tigers have a 3-4 record in Olson’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Olson’s team has won four of his seven starts.
  • Olson’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of eight games.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins have racked up at least two round-trippers in 31 games this season, and are 12-19 in those outings.
  • Miami has collected at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 17-1 in those outings.
  • The team is 45-37 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
  • Miami has a 37-11 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Marlins have drawn at least five walks in 23 games this season, and are 12-11 in those contests.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They are 16-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Detroit has gone 12-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 43-17 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 46 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 36-10.
  • In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-10

Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.