Eagles vs. 49ers Player Props for NFC Championship: Targets Include Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and Christian McCaffrey

profootballnetwork.com
 
Eagles vs. 49ers Player Props for NFC Championship: Targets Include Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and Christian McCaffrey

If you’re planning to make NFL prop bets for this thrilling Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers NFC Championship Game on Sunday, you’ve come to the right place.

We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.

Top Eagles vs. 49ers Player Props To Target

The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.

In the 1990s, six Super Bowl winners were also that season’s final undefeated team. For example, the 1998 Broncos started 13-0. They were the last undefeated team that year and went on to win the title. In all, seven such teams reached the title game; the 1994 Chargers were the only “final” undefeated team to lose in the Super Bowl, getting pummeled by the 49ers.

On a side note, that was the last time San Francisco won the title.

Moving on to the first decade of this century, six final undefeated teams made it to the title game. Yet only one prevailed. And last decade, only four such teams reached the Super Bowl. None won.

On another side note, the last final undefeated team to compete in the Super Bowl was — you guessed it — the 49ers (2019).

What caused this dramatic shift? How could six undefeated teams win it all three decades ago, with only one team (the 2006 Colts) winning it in the 22 years since?

It certainly wasn’t the expanded playoff system. Every final undefeated team that’s claimed the title since the 1972 Dolphins has had to go 3-0 in the postseason. Maybe there’s more parity these days. Perhaps players are more prone to injuries/regressions. A lot of it is conjecture. But something has happened.

And now the Eagles — this year’s final undefeated team — is facing arguably its toughest opponent of the season — and another brutally tough opponent if they win. Consider that aside from sweeping the 9-8-1 Giants, Philly’s last victory over a playoff team was in Week 6 versus the Cooper Rush-led Cowboys.

Admittedly, I questioned the 49ers’ toughness last week, pointing out that their only victory versus a 10+ win team was against the Chargers — which were playing without Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. But San Francisco persevered, in large part due to an elite defense that’s given up only 16.4 points per game.

The Eagles enter as the favorites. I get it. They were the final undefeated team. Jalen Hurts > Brock Purdy. Etc.

But the following prop recommendations assume the Niners will win 19-16, as the Eagles will struggle to sustain the offensive prowess they’re accustomed to, while San Francisco will continue to pound the ball on the ground and opportunistically seize on openings through the air.

Jalen Hurts Player Props

Hurts can run on any team. Whether it’s a designed play or the product of a collapsing pocket, this MVP candidate will carry his team if he has to. And he might have to. But that doesn’t mean he’ll be able to generate chunk yards through the air against a defense that’s tied for first with 20 picks.

  • Passing yards under 247.5
    (-114) — FanDuel
  • Rushing yards over 47.5
    (-110) — DraftKings

A.J. Brown Player Props

Will A.J. Brown be this week’s CeeDee Lamb, dominating target share and production in a losing effort? Perhaps. But unlike the Cowboys, Philly has a near-elite No. 2 WR in DeVonta Smith. The following prop assumes Brown will comfortably lead his team through the air. I’m not so sure.

The exceptional wideout has been hit-or-miss in his first season with the Eagles. He’s posted nine games with 85+ receiving yards and nine others with 70 yards or less — all versus lesser defenses than what he’ll encounter this weekend. I think 6-60 is more realistic than 6-80.

  • Receptions over 4.5
    (-155) — DraftKings
  • Receiving yards under 70.5
    (-112) — FanDuel

Christian McCaffrey Player Props

While the 49ers’ defense leads the league while yielding only 3.4 yards per carry, the Eagles are surrendering 4.6 — the ninth most in the NFL. Philly has also shown vulnerability through the air, giving up an above-average 86-542 receiving line to opposing RBs.

This setup hardly seems needed when it comes to Christian McCaffrey. But it’s useful when considering McCaffrey’s relative struggles versus a tougher Dallas defensive line. Despite dealing with injuries, we’re still talking about one of the best RBs in the game.

Saquon Barkley just gashed the Eagles for 6.8 yards per carry. Matt Breida and Gary Brightwell combined for a 5-33 line (6.6 ypc). Breida and Brightwell had even more success against Philly the week before. For all their greatness, the Eagles are hitting a rough patch versus the run at the worst time.

  • Rushing yards over 59.5
    (-114) — FanDuel
  • Receptions over 4.5
    (+115) — DraftKings
  • Receiving yards over 32.5
    (-114) — FanDuel