Elvin Espinoza vs. Keoni Diggs Betting Analysis and Prediction
Outside of the playoff fights, we have an intriguing matchup in the lightweight division on the MMA schedule tonight between Elvin Espinoza and Keoni Diggs. Espinoza is fighting for the third straight year during the playoffs, and Diggs is making his PFL debut.
Read more for the Espinoza vs Diggs betting analysis and prediction ahead of making your bets this weekend.
Elvin Espinoza vs. Keoni Diggs
Location of the fight: Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio, TX.
Date and Time: Friday, August 04. 9:00 PM ET.
How to Watch: ESPN+
Espinoza is coming off a spectacular submission win back in February to earn a PFL contract.
Diggs last fought in Bellator in October of 2022, where he beat Ricardo Seixas by unanimous decision.
Espinoza is an impressive 8-0 prospect out of Nicaragua with a record of 8-0 (three TKO and four submissions). He has three prior appearances with the PFL but has finally been signed to a multi-fight deal after a slick submission in his last bout at the PFL Challenger Series.
“The Prodigy” is looking to get some momentum going into next season with a good performance against a tough former welterweight on Saturday night.
Diggs has competed at both welterweight and lightweight in the Bellator promotion. And is now a 10-2 veteran of MMA with one TKO and six submission victories.
Making his PFL debut, he has the tall task of handling a very talented prospect. A win in this showcase fight can earn him a nice deal with the promotion going forward into the next regular season in a stacked lightweight division.
No injuries have been reported to the PFL.
After looking at the Espinoza vs Diggs betting analysis, the fight is very closely matched. And the MMA Vegas odds are what will help make a decision on who to bet on.
Espinoza is the -143 betting favorite over the +123 Diggs this Friday night. The over 2.5 round total is favored at -180, and the fight is +135 to get finished inside the distance. Espinoza is +240, and Diggs is +385 to get a finish in this one.
The styles of both men are very comparable, with them both loving the ground game and locking up submissions. Usually, when two grapplers face each other, it turns into a striking match. Espinoza likes to switch stances and throw kicks at a distance, while Diggs likes to let his hands go a bit more when he isn’t shooting takedowns.
After breaking down this fight’s betting lines and listing out the key points of the Espinoza vs Diggs betting analysis, it proves how tough it is to make MMA picks today when fights are this closely matched.
- The prediction for this fight is Espinoza continuing his tear and moving onto a 9-0 record.
A finish is too risky to bet on, so just take his moneyline. It’s possible he can do something slick in a scramble and take Diggs’ back to lock up a choke.
The main reason for this pick is that Espinoza is in his prime and is training at a solid gym in Miami. Diggs has shown some slowing down in his recent fights and is already 36 years old, making it hard to compete with an athlete as dynamic and dangerous as Espinoza.
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