2023 PFL: Mitchell vs. Kaszuba Betting Analysis and Prediction

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2023 PFL: Mitchell vs. Kaszuba Betting Analysis and Prediction

Arguably the most interesting matchup on this week’s PFL Europe Championship card is this lightweight title fight between John Mitchell and Jakub Kaszuba in Dublin. These two are battling it out for $100 thousand and a chance to compete on the global PFL stage in 2024.

John Mitchell vs Jakub Kaszuba Information

John Mitchell vs Jakub Kaszuba

Location of the fight: 3Arena, Dublin, Ireland

Date and Time: December 08, 2023. 12 PM ET

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Mitchell is coming off a decision victory over Geisym Derouiche in September.

Kaszuba also fought at the September event, beating Dylan Tuke by unanimous decision.

Mitchell vs. Kaszuba Betting Analysis

John Mitchell

Mitchell is an Irish mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 8-1, including 3 TKO/KO wins and 1 submission. Fighting out of Cork, Ireland, Mitchell is listed at 6’0” with a 75” reach as a natural welterweight–meaning he is going to be a pretty big lightweight if he’s able to continue to fight at that weight.

Jakub Kaszuba

Kaszuba is a Polish mixed martial artist with a professional record of 10-0 with 4 TKO/KO victories and 2 submissions under his belt at the age of 28. He’s a 5’11” lightweight with a 73” reach. He’s the lightweight champion in the Combat Night fight promotion out of Florida.

Updates

PFL Europe and ESPN have not reported any injuries, ensuring fighters are in prime condition for their upcoming battles.

Mitchell vs. Kaszuba Betting Preview

Before getting to a prediction, we have to add to the Mitchell vs. Kaszuba betting analysis by previewing the available betting lines for this European title fight and watching as much film as possible on both prospects.

The 2023 PFL Europe Championship odds have Kaszuba coming in as the slight -135 betting favorite over the +105 Irishman. You could probably assume that these odds might close at around EVEN by the time Fight Night comes around. PFL odds indicate this bout is also favored to conclude inside the distance with a -200 prediction.

On the technical side of this matchup, both of these guys are good young talents who are still in the process of learning the sport of MMA and figuring out their styles. Mitchell’s evident skill suggests continuous improvement every time he enters the cage, showcasing his growth in the sport with each fight. Kaszuba is the more refined talent, knowing what his strengths and weaknesses are and coming into the cage with a plan.

Mitchell is a freestyle fighter with good athleticism and will look to use his movement and counters to freeze his opponents. He also has a natural ability in grappling scrambles and can lock up submissions when he gets the opportunity.

Kaszuba is a strong lightweight who knows what he needs to do. He does everything to eventually end up on the ground with his opponent and dominate the fight down there. In his last bout, he did a great job staying disciplined against an unorthodox fighter like Dylan Tuke–eventually winning the fight coming back in the second and third rounds with damaging clinch knees and dominant top-game.

Mitchell vs. Kaszuba Betting Prediction

If you want to bet on MMA fights tonight, this Mitchell vs. Kaszuba betting analysis and prediction is a great place to start and learn from. These lesser-known fights make it tough to make proper PFL predictions, but there are ways to still win bets without knowing the fighters super well.

That said, we officially predict Mitchell will emerge victorious in the lightweight title bout and claim the substantial prize. The hometown advantage and the game plan will be the difference here.

Mitchell can win wherever the fight goes. Kaszuba needs to get the fight to the ground and that one-way thinking might make it easier for Mitchell to figure out how to hurt Kaszuba on the feet and keep the fight standing.

  • Pick: Mitchell to win.

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