Heat vs. Bulls Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Heat vs. Bulls Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Chicago Bulls (32-37) will look to top scorer Zach LaVine (25.1 ppg) when they aim to upset the Bam Adebayo-led Miami Heat (38-33) on March 18, 2023. The Bulls are 2.5-point underdogs against the Heat. The game has an over/under of 216.

Heat vs. Bulls Odds

  • Heat odds to win: -137
  • Bulls odds to win: +116
  • Spread: Heat (-2.5)
  • Total: 216

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois
  • TV: NBCS-CHI and BSSUN

Who Will Win Heat vs. Bulls?

Heat and Bulls Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 12-26-3 record against the spread in games they were favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

The Bulls have a 17-13 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.

The Heat and the Bulls combine to average 6.7 more points per game than the total of 216 set for this game.

Miami and Chicago have seen its opponents average a combined 6.4 more points per game than the point total of 216 set for this game.

The average total the Heat have had set in matchups this season is 2.7 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average over/under for Chicago’s games this year is 10.3 more points than the point total of 216 in this outing.

So far this season, Miami has put together a 25-42-4 record against the spread.

The Bulls are 35-34-0 against the spread this year.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 109.1 points per game (30th in the league) while allowing 109.6 per outing (second in the NBA). They have a -34 scoring differential overall.

The Heat fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. They are collecting 40.9 rebounds per game (28th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 42.1 per outing.

Miami makes 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (13.2). It is shooting 33.9% from deep (26th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.8%.

The Heat score 109.5 points per 100 possessions (26th in the league), while allowing 109.8 points per 100 possessions (sixth in the NBA).

The Heat’s offense has been much better in home games (110.5 PPG) compared to away games (107.6 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better in home games (109.2 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (110.1 PPG allowed).

Bulls Stats & Insights

The Bulls put up 113.6 points per game (18th in league) while giving up 112.8 per contest (11th in NBA). They have a +53 scoring differential.

The 42.9 rebounds per game Chicago accumulates rank 17th in the NBA. Their opponents record 43.2.

The Bulls knock down 10.4 three-pointers per game (30th in the league) while shooting 36.4% from beyond the arc (13th in NBA). They are making 2.9 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.3 per game at 35.7%.

The Bulls record 111.6 points per 100 possessions (18th in league), while allowing 110 points per 100 possessions (seventh in NBA).

At home, Chicago averages 115 points per game. Away, it averages 112.

Heat Key Players to Watch

The Heat get 21 points, 9.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists from Adebayo.

Jimmy Butler’s averages this season are 22.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game.

The Heat get three three-pointers per game out of Tyler Herro.

Butler averages 1.9 steals per game, while Adebayo has 0.9 blocks per contest.

Bulls Key Players to Watch

LaVine pours in 25.1 points per game. He also adds 4.8 rebounds per outing and four assists per contest.

Nikola Vucevic has per-game averages of 17.8 points, 3.3 assists and 11.3 rebounds this season.

LaVine cashes in on 2.8 treys per game.

The Bulls’ defensive effort gets a boost from Alex Caruso’s 1.6 steals and Vucevic’s 0.8 blocks per game.

  • Pick ATS: Bulls (+ 2.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (216)

  • Prediction:
    Bulls 113 – Heat 109