Knicks vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets
The New York Knicks (43-33) are a 4.5-point favorite against the Miami Heat (40-36) on March 29, 2023. A point total of 223 is set for the matchup.
Knicks vs. Heat Odds
- Knicks odds to win: -189
- Heat odds to win: +159
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
- Total: 223
Knicks vs. Heat Promo Codes
Game Time and Information
- When: Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
- TV: MSG and BSSUN
Who Will Win Knicks vs. Heat?
Knicks and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Knicks are 9-9 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
The Heat are 5-7 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.
These teams average 224.5 points per game combined, 1.5 more than the over/under of 223.
New York and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 0.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 223 set in this matchup.
The average over/under the Knicks have had in their matchups this season is 5.4 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average over/under in Miami’s games this year is 4.2 fewer points than the point total of 223 in this outing.
New York has gone 42-33-1 ATS this season.
So far this year, the Heat have put together a 27-45-4 record against the spread.
Knicks Stats & Insights
The Knicks outscore opponents by 2.8 points per game (scoring 115.6 points per game to rank 12th in the league while giving up 112.8 per outing to rank 13th in the NBA) and have a +212 scoring differential overall.
The Knicks record 46.6 rebounds per game (second in the league) while allowing 42.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 4.3 boards per game.
New York makes 12.5 three-pointers per game (12th in the league), while its opponents have made 12.9 on average.
The Knicks’ 114.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank sixth in the NBA, and the 111.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 12th in the league.
The Knicks have scored at a higher clip at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (117.2 at home versus 114 on the road), but have also given up more points at home than in road games (112.9 opponent points per home game versus 112.7 on the road).
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat put up 108.9 points per game (30th in league) while allowing 109.9 per contest (second in NBA). They have a -72 scoring differential.
The 40.7 rebounds per game Miami accumulates rank 27th in the league, 1.3 fewer than the 42 its opponents record.
The Heat knock down 11.7 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) while shooting 34.1% from deep (27th in NBA). They are making 1.5 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.2 per game at 36.9%.
The Heat rank 26th in the league averaging 109.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth, allowing 110.5 points per 100 possessions.
Miami is putting up more points at home (110.7 per game) than on the road (107.1).
Knicks Key Players to Watch
The Knicks get 25.4 points, 10 rebounds and 4.1 assists from Julius Randle.
Jalen Brunson contributes with 3.6 boards and 6.2 assists per game in addition to his 23.8 PPG scoring average.
The Knicks get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Randle.
Josh Hart averages 1.2 steals per game, while Mitchell Robinson has 1.7 blocks per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (20.9 points per game) and rebounding (9.3 rebounds per game) while adding 3.3 assists per contest.
Tyler Herro has per-game averages of 20.5 points, 4.3 assists and 5.5 rebounds this season.
Herro knocks down 3.1 threes per game.
The Heat’s defensive effort gets a lift from Adebayo (1.2 steals and 0.9 blocks per game).
- Pick ATS: Knicks (- 4.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (223)
- Prediction:
Knicks 115 – Heat 108
