Heat vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The San Antonio Spurs (10-40) will attempt to end a four-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (27-24) on Wednesday, February 7, 2024 at FTX Arena as 8-point underdogs. The game airs at 7:30 PM ET on BSSU. The matchup has a point total of 223.5.
Heat vs. Spurs Odds
How to Bet on Heat vs. Spurs
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Heat vs. Spurs?
Heat and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games they have played as at least 8-point favorites this season, the Heat are 1-3 against the spread.
In games this year in which they were an underdog by 8 points or more, the Spurs have an 11-15 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 0.8 fewer points per game (222.7) than this game’s over/under of 223.5 points.
Miami and San Antonio have seen its opponents average a combined 8.3 more points per game than the over/under of 223.5 set for this game.
The average point total in Heat games this season is 2.2 fewer points than the total of 223.5 in this matchup.
The average total in San Antonio’s games this season is 9.7 more points than the point total of 223.5 in this outing.
So far this season, Miami has compiled a 22-27-2 record against the spread.
So far this season, the Spurs have put together a 24-26-0 record against the spread.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat have a -28 scoring differential, putting up 110.4 points per game (27th in the league) and allowing 110.9 (seventh in the NBA).
The 42.0 rebounds per game the Heat average rank 24th in the NBA. Their opponents record 42.9 per outing.
Miami makes 12.4 three-pointers per game (17th in the league), 1.1 fewer than its opponents (13.5). It is shooting 37.3% from deep (ninth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.6%.
The Heat record 114.7 points per 100 possessions (22nd in the league), while allowing 115.2 points per 100 possessions (10th in the NBA).
In 2023-24, the Heat’s offense has been much better at home, where they average 113.2 points per game, compared to on the road, where they average 107.4 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been much worse in home games, where they give up 113.5 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to score 108.2 per game.
Spurs Stats & Insights
The Spurs are being outscored by 8.6 points per game, with a -426 scoring differential overall. They put up 112.3 points per game (24th in NBA), and give up 120.9 per outing (26th in league).
The 43.4 rebounds per game San Antonio accumulates rank 13th in the league, 2.7 fewer than the 46.1 its opponents grab.
The Spurs hit 12.5 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), while their opponents have made 13.5 on average.
The Spurs’ 110.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 27th in the NBA, and the 119.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 24th in the league.
San Antonio scores 114.5 points per game at home, and 110.0 away.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo averages 20.2 points, 10.6 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game.
Terry Rozier puts up 23.2 points per game and adds 3.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists for the Heat.
Duncan Robinson leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. picks up 1.1 takeaways per game, and Adebayo records 1.0 block per contest.
Spurs Key Players to Watch
Victor Wembanyama is at the top of the Spurs scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.4 points per game and 10.3 rebounds per game to go with 3.2 assists per contest this season.
Tre Jones’ per-game averages this season are 9.7 points, 5.8 assists and 3.2 rebounds.
Devin Vassell knocks down 2.5 threes per game.
Wembanyama’s 1.2 steals and 3.1 blocks per game are key to the Spurs’ defensive effort.
Over (223.5)
Heat 118 – Spurs 109
