Mets vs. Marlins predictions, MLB picks & odds for Friday, 3/31
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The New York Mets and Miami Marlins will face off again on Friday for the second game of the 2023 MLB season’s opening series. On Opening Day, the Mets took down the Marlins 5-3 behind an impressive offensive performance led by Brandon Nimmo (1-3, 3 RBI, R, BB) and Starling Marte (2-4, R, BB).
They look to take a 2-0 series lead on Friday, with David Peterson projected to start for the Mets and Jesus Luzardo projected to go for the Marlins. Below, we’ll provide our top Mets vs. Marlins predictions and explain how to qualify to earn $100 in bonus bet credits after you sign up for WynnBet Sportsbook using this link and place a $100 wager.
If you’re planning to bet using our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, head over to WynnBet Sportsbook and sign up by clicking here.
The 2023 MLB season got started with an exciting matchup between the Mets and Marlins Thursday featuring two All-Star starting pitchers in Max Scherzer and Sandy Alcantara. The Mets’ superior offensive firepower carried them to a victory, collecting eight hits and five walks en route to their season’s first victory. On Friday, we’ll be treated to two high-upside, young starting pitchers: David Peterson for the Mets and Jesus Luzardo for the Marlins.
While our experts give an edge to Luzardo and the Marlins in the pitching department for this matchup, we’d be surprised if the Mets didn’t provide a similar offensive showing to yesterday’s matchup. While Luzardo and his 10.8 K/9 rate from 2022 will look to miss the Mets’ big bats, the Marlins’ bullpen is seriously suspect. Even if Luzardo goes five or six solid innings in his debut 2023 appearance, expect the Mets’ lineup to strike as soon as he’s removed.
That’s why our best bet Mets vs. Marlins prediction is for the Mets to improve to 2-0 and cash in on their friendly (-109, $109 wager wins $100 in profit) betting odds.
We think this matchup will be where the Mets break out offensively; as a result, we find great value in several individual player prop bets. In particular, two of Mets’ first baseman Pete Alonso’s individual player props strike us as incredibly valuable lines.
The first of these is a more conservative bet: Alonso’s total bases prop, currently set at 0.5 (over -175) on WynnBet. Alonso went 0-4 with a walk and a strikeout yesterday, but we don’t think that represents much for a hitter of Alonso’s caliber. Last season, Alonso hit .271 with 40 HR, 131 RBI, and a .352 OBP. It’s just a matter of time before Alonso gets hot, and today may be the day. Still, we don’t need Alonso to break out in a big way: we just need a lowly single for him to cash on his (-175) betting odds.
We have another top Mets vs. Marlins prediction featuring Alonso for those who want a more lucrative betting line: Alonso’s total home runs prop, currently set at 0.5 (over +550) at WynnBet Sportsbook. Alonso is one of the game’s premier power hitters, blasting 40 HRs last season and no fewer than 37 in any full season he’s played. Over his career, Alonso has hit a home run once per 13.44 at-bats, an elite rate.
There’s a good chance that Alonso catches one today, especially if the Mets manage to get to the Marlins’ bullpen early. We think that gives Alonso’s +550 betting odds to hit a home run against the Marlins Friday a pretty solid investment.
If you think Alonso will cash in on his player prop odds today, head over to WynnBet Sportsbook and register for an account. Once you make a deposit of $100 and place a $100 wager on any bet with odds -120 or greater (like Alonso’s home run prop or the Mets money line), you’ll receive $100 in bonus bets regardless of the outcome of your bet.
New users can bet on the Mets at WynnBet Sportsbook and qualify to earn $100 in bonus bet credits. To qualify for this promotion, you’ll need to satisfy the following requirements:
- Be a first-time WynnBet Sportsbook user in AZ, CO, IN, LA, MA, TN, or VA
- Be 21 years of age or older
- Register for your WynnBet Sportsbook account using this link
- Make a real-money deposit of at least $100
- Place a bet of $100 or more on any sports market with odds of -120 or greater (such as the Mets’ money line odds)
Once you follow these steps, you’ll be awarded $100 in bonus bet credits to use as you wish. No promo code is required to redeem this offer: simply to qualify.
Some of the most interesting lines for Friday’s Mets vs. Marlins matchup at WynnBet include:
- Money line: New York Mets -109, Miami Marlins -104
- Run line: New York Mets -1.5 (+145), Miami Marlins +1.5 (-179)
- Run total: Over 7.5 (-112), Under 7.5 (-109)
- First inning runs: No -150, Yes +120
- Team run total: Mets 3.5 (Over -135, Under +109), Marlins 3.5 (Over -109, Under -112)
- Strikeout total: David Peterson 5.5 (Over -132, Under -101), Jesus Luzardo 5.5 (Over +104, Under -139)
- Total bases: Brandon Nimmo 1.5 (Over +160), Starling Marte 1.5 (Over +150), Francisco Lindor 1.5 (Over +150), Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (Over -135), Jeff McNeil 0.5 (Over -213), Luis Arraez 1.5 (Over +155), Pete Alonso 0.5 (Over -175)
If any of these lines seem attractive to you, head over to WynnBet Sportsbook and register for an account using this link. If you bet $100 on any sports market with odds of -120 or longer, you’ll instantly earn $100 in bonus bet credits.
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