Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8-3-23 MLB Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Thursday in MLB action from Marlins Park. This will be the finale in a four-game series. The Phillies won the first pair, then on Wednesday Miami struck back with a tense 12-inning victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies posted a 4-2 win in the Monday opener of this series, then won again 3-1 in game two thanks to a two-run homer from Nick Castellanos. On Wednesday Philadelphia blew a 5-0 lead in the sixth on the way to a 9-8 loss in 12 innings. Alec Bohm went 4-for-6 with three RBI, a run and four hits. Brandon Marsh added a two-run homer.
In the starter role for the Phillies on Thursday it’ll be former Detroit hurler Michael Lorenzen. This year Lorenzen is 5-7 with a 3.58 ERA in 18 starts. Over his last seven starts Lorenzen is 3-3 with a 2.50 ERA and 36 Ks in 39.2 innings.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts
- The Phillies have won each of their last 10 games against the Marlins after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favourites against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in 11 of their last 16 games as favourites.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favourites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last six games as favourites against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.
Miami Marlins
Over on the Miami side, they had 11 hits in the Tuesday game but only one RBI courtesy of Avisail Garcia (two hits). On Wednesday in game three the Marlins scored two runs in three different innings on the way to the epic comeback win. Josh Bell (four hits; two runs), Jesus Sanchez (three hits) and Jon Berti had two RBI apiece.
It’ll be Johnny Cueto in the start for the Marlins on Thursday. Across four games (three starts) this year Cueto is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 14 Ks in 16.0 innings. Cueto is coming off a loss to Detroit with 6.0 innings and four earned runs.
Miami Marlins Team Facts
- The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Phillies.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs following an extra innings win.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last nine games as home underdogs.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Luis Arraez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.378) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Miami Marlins ranks 2nd in the league for hits this season (985).
- The Miami Marlins ranks 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.265).
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T3rd in the league for triples this season (21).
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T6th in the league for doubles this season (198).
ANDREW’S FREE PICK
I’ll stay with Philadelphia. It’ll be interesting to see what Lorenzen can do in his inaugural outing wearing a Phillies jersey. The good news is that Lorenzen is pitching well right now. He’s got just three earned runs in his last three starts over 18.2 total innings, going 2-1 during that time. Lorenzen should be able to set the Phillies up pretty well. In Wednesday’s game Philadelphia couldn’t put the lid on a win despite a nice offensive evening. The Phillies bullpen gave up four earned in 5.0 innings on eight hits and three walks, which will further tax the pitching staff in the finale. That said, if Lorenzen can come out strong the Phillies should fall into a nice rhythm. It’ll be a fun one.
