Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (18-13) and San Francisco Giants (13-17) open up a 3-game set at Oracle Park Friday. First pitch is at 10:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Giants won 4-3 in 2022

The Brew Crew was swept in Colorado earlier in the week and have dropped 4 in a row. They are just 10-10 over the last 20 games. They are clearly struggling without a couple starting pitchers. What was built to be a strength, the Brewers sit 25th in pitcher strikeouts at 7.79/game.

The Giants took 2 of 3 from the defending-champion Houston Astros on the road this week. They’ve won 6 of 10 and sit 5 games back in the NL West. San Francisco is doing it with power, ranking 4th in MLB with 1.60 homers per game.

Brewers at Giants projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Burnes (3-1, 4.01 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

• Last start Saturday vs. LA Angels: 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K
• His 7.2 K/9 is a career low
• Last 5 GS vs. Giants: 2-0, 1.03 ERA, 0.66 WHIP, 49 K in 35 IP

Manaea (0-1, 7.85 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.

• Has allowed 9 ER in 5 2/3 IP over last 2 GS
• Last GS vs. Milwaukee June 2, 2022: 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K

Brewers at Giants odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:06 p.m. ET.

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Brewers at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Giants 2

Burnes has not pitched like himself this year, but any time you can get the Brewers against a sub-.500 team for -120 with him on the hill, you very much consider it. Yes, Burnes’ strikeouts are down, but the Giants fan the most in baseball at 10.70/game. Sweeten the deal with BREWERS ML + BURNES 5K (+100) at even money. Burnes owns the Giants with at least 9K in his last 4 GS against them.

The Brewers are 15-16 on the RL and 9-7 on the road. The Giants are 14-16 and 7-7 at home. These teams have played each other tough with 3 one-run games in the last 6. But with Manaea out there pitching batting practice, I’ll throw a HALF-UNIT at BREWERS -1.5 (+140).

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Milwaukee and San Francisco are 3-6-1 O/U over the last 10. It’s a chilly 56 degrees with a 10-mph gust blowing out to left-center. We’ve had 7 Unders cash in the last 10 games between these teams.

I’ll LEAN UNDER 8 (-115).

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