San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions
The San Francisco Giants (24-25) and Milwaukee Brewers (27-22) open a 4-game series Thursday at American Family Field. First pitch will be at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 2-1 but have only outscored the Brewers 13-12.
The Giants have won 7 of their last 9 games to pull closer to the .500 mark on the year, recently sweeping the Philadelphia Phillies before taking 2 of 3 apiece from the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins. They’re still 6 games back of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West, but they’re creeping up on the division leaders.
The Brewers took 2 of 3 games from the Houston Astros in their most recent series after losing back-to-back 2-1 series at the Tampa Bay Rays and at the St. Louis Cardinals. Milwaukee’s offense has only scored 205 runs, which ranks 23rd in the majors (entering Thursday), while the pitching staff’s 4.05 ERA is the 12th-best.
Giants at Brewers projected starters
LHP Scott Alexander vs. TBD
Alexander (4-0, 4.42 ERA) makes his 1st start of the season after coming out of the bullpen 21 times. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 4.4 K/9 through 18 1/3 innings.
- Of his 21 relief appearances this season, Alexander has never pitched more than 1 1/3 innings in a single outing.
- He’s only allowed 1 earned run and 2 hits in May, posting an ERA of 1.23 this month across 7 1/3 innings in 8 games.
As of this publishing, the Brewers have not named Thursday’s starter. An MLB.com report claims they agreed to a 1-year deal with RHP Julio Teheran, who will possibly get the nod. The 32-year-old right-hander hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2021.
- 2023 minor-league stats: 4-2, 5.63 ERA (40 IP, 25 ER), 1.68 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, 3.6 BB/9 in 8 starts for Triple-A El Paso (Padres)
Giants at Brewers odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.
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Giants at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 4, Brewers 3
The Giants are playing some good baseball right now, having won 7 of their last 9 games. And though they’ll have Alexander on as their opener in this one, I still like their chances to beat the Brewers, who are near the bottom of the league in runs scored.
BET GIANTS (-125) to win outright on the road in the series opener, having taken Game 1 of their last 4 series.
Without knowing the Brewers’ starter, I don’t love either side of the run line. The Giants aren’t exactly crushing teams right now, with 3 of their last 7 games being won by 1 run. The Brewers have also played relatively well in their last 2 games, winning 4-0 and 6-0.
PASS on the run line and instead stick to the money line.
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The total has gone Under in 4 of the Giants’ last 5 series openers, according to Covers. Neither of these offenses is exactly humming at the moment and both rank in the bottom third of the league in runs scored, so this could be a lower-scoring game than the Over/Under indicates.
BET UNDER 9 (+100) at even money.
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