Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions
The Minnesota Twins (4-0) and Miami Marlins (1-4) meet Tuesday to continue a 3-game series at loanDepot park. First pitch Tuesday is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 1-0.
Minnesota swept the Kansas City Royals in a season-opening series on the road. The Twins, who went just 32-49 (.395) away from home last season, extended their season-opening win streak to 4 games with an 11-1 triumph in the Monday opener of this series.
Miami has lost 3 in a row. The Marlins have been outscored 28-9 over their 5 games. On Monday, they scored just 1 run on 12 hits.
Twins at Marlins projected starters
RHP Kenta Maeda vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara
Maeda is making his 1st start of the 2023 season and returning to the mound after August 2021 Tommy John surgery. He has not pitched since 2021.
- Over his career owns a 59-41 record with a 3.87 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 762 IP
- Logged a 4.91 ERA, 10 BB and 14 K in 14 2/3 spring training innings
Alcantara (0-0, 4.76 ERA) makes his 2nd start this season. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 3.2 K/9 through 5 2/3 IP.
- Logged a 15:4 SO:BB and 0.68 ERA in 13 1/3 spring training innings
- Owns a 2.06 ERA, 0.90 WHIP in 231 1/3 home innings in the 2021-22 seasons
Twins at Marlins odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.
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Twins at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Minnesota 5, Miami 4
PASS: Not bullish on the Fish offense, but am for them improving with the bats. But Maeda is too much a question mark in his return,
PASS: Also fading Alcantara a bit. The side is a layoff all the way around, but there is leverage to be gained in betting a low run total.
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Alcantara has bettors tamping down this number. He’s a very good pitcher and excels in his home park. But the Miami righty is facing a Minnesota club which owns a nice .790 OPS so far. He’s likely overrated by his surface numbers from a year ago (2.28 ERA); he benefitted from a .268 batting average on balls in play. Alcantara also gets a lot of ground balls; such pitchers are more affected by the new shift rule.
Maeda is a question mark. The Marlins’ run scoring is lagging behind their not-terrible .689 OPS. Miami has been hurt by a .167 batting average with runners in scoring position.
TAKE THE OVER 7 (-105).
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