Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

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The Seattle Mariners (50-50) and Minnesota Twins (54-48) meet Tuesday for 2nd game of a 4-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Minnesota leads 1-0

Seattle dropped Monday’s lid-lifter 4-3 in 10 innings. With that result, the Mariners are now 13-19 in 1-run games and 4-9 in extra-inning affairs. Seattle went 0-for-11 Monday with runners in scoring position.

The Twins have won 4 consecutive games and have gotten solid pitching in going 14-6 over their last 20. Over that span, Minnesota hurlers have logged a 3.76 ERA, 1.10 WHIP.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Kirby (9-8, 3.23 ERA) makes his 20th start of the 2023 campaign. He has registered a 1.04 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 119 2/3 innings.

• Scuffled in his 1st outing after the break, but rallied to throw 7 shutout innings in his last start (July 20 against these Twins)
• Has authored a 2.80 ERA, 0.93 WHIP over his last 7 starts

Lopez (5-6, 4.22 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 121 2/3 innings.

• Got off to a hot start this season, but owns a 4.61 ERA since April 28
• ERA is his would-be single-season highest since 2019 season (5.09)
• Owns a 4.98 ERA at home

Mariners at Twins odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Mariners 3

Minnesota is 7-3 over its last 10 games against Seattle (3-0 at home). With  Lopez being a value option on the mound, and with the Twins being the better offense — especially against right-handers (.744 OPS), TAKE MINNESOTA (-120).

Both teams have played more 1-run games than the average club. But the juice here takes the profitability out of a potential play.

PASS.

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The Seattle Mariners have hit the team Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.20 Units, 16% ROI). The Minnesota Twins have hit the team Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.40 Units, 11% ROI).

A couple good bullpens and some undervalue tint to Lopez make the lean toward an Under here. The UNDER 7.5 (-104) is worth a partial-unit play.

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