Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions
The Miami Marlins (54-47) and Tampa Bay Rays (61-42) open a 2-game interleague set Tuesday on Florida’s Gulf Coast. First pitch at Tropicana Field is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2023; Tampa Bay took last year’s series 4-0
Miami won 3-2 Sunday in an extra-inning game at home against the Colorado Rockies. The victory snapped an 8-game losing skid for the Marlins and now the Fish are looking to break a losing streak on the road: Miami is 0-9 with a 6.84 ERA across 9 road tilts since June 30.
Tampa Bay lost 3 of 4 to the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. However, the Rays do have a winning streak going: they have downed the Marlins in 8 straight games since 2021.
Marlins at Rays projected starters
RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow
Cabrera (5-5, 4.50 ERA) is making his 16th start. He’s logged a 1.38 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 72 IP.
- Returned from the IL (shoulder impingement) in his last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2H, 3 BB, 6 K vs. St. Louis Cardinals July last Tuesday
- Owns a 4.08 ERA over 36 career games
- Has clocked a 5.93 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 9 road starts in 2023
Glasnow (3-3, 3.62 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has registered a 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 13.2 K/9 through 54 2/3 IP.
- Has fanned 47 batters against just 5 BB across his last 5 starts (29 1/3 IP)
- Got a late start to the season after an oblique injury. Went past 6 IP for the 1st time in his last turn: No-decision, 7 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 9 K vs. Orioles Thursday
Marlins at Rays odds
FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.
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Marlins at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 5, Marlins 2
Tampa is the lean, but the value in the play is best leveraged around -200. PASS, and look to get the Rays by the Fish in a multi-run win.
Tampa has seen some losses pile up of late, but situational hitting has been a big culprit over a slew of close games. The Rays own a .179 batting average with runners in scoring position since July 4. The club has also been undone by a 14-19 mark in 1-run games this season.
Glasnow figures as better than what shows in his surface ERA. He’s pitched through the traffic of a .320 batting average with runners in scoring position, and he’s getting a lot of ground balls but has been hurt by a home runs/fly balls rate of 19%.
There is some risk here in a low-total environment, and these clubs play in a lot of tight ballgames, but there is value in the RAYS -1.5 (+104).
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A low score figures to develop in this one. The total and pricing here don’t offer much leverage, though. An Under 7.5 would perhaps be worth some partial-unit action at -105, but even that price would offer just a sliver of value. PASS.
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