New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The New York Yankees (13-11) and Minnesota Twins (14-10) meet Wednesday in Minneapolis. First pitch in the final game of a 3-game series is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 4-2

New York has been outscored 6-1 and 6-2 in the 1st 2 games of this series. The Yankees have scored 3 runs or less in 5 of their 6 games against Minnesota this season. The Yanks own a .519 OPS over their last 5 games.

Despite being roughed up for 10-plus runs twice last week, Minnesota enters Wednesday’s matinee ranked 2nd in the league in run prevention. The Twins have allowed just 3.42 runs per game.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Kenta Maeda

German (1-2, 4.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 20 IP.

• Owns a 3.83 road ERA since 2021
• Won vs. Twins on April 15: 6 1/3 IP, 3  H, 1 R, 0 BB, 11 K

Maeda (0-3, 4.15 ERA) is making his 4th start. He owns a 1.00 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 13 IP.

• Missed last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in September 2021
• Has a 3.88 ERA, 1.13 WHIP in 172 career games

Yankees at Twins odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Twins 3

The back end of the New York bullpen is rested, and German has pitched better than his surface ERA would indicate.

New York has had trouble with runners in scoring position, and that has soured what was a decent 8-4 run from April 8-20. Against Maeda, who has allowed quite a bit of hard contact so far, look for a breakthrough.

TAKE THE YANKEES (+100).

Lots of juice here. And likely no value. PASS.

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There is some general fade to the pitching in this match-up here and some untapped run potential in the Yankees attack. But the Twins’ offensive numbers are a bit over-bloated, and a chilly day brings a low score enough into play as to nix any action.

PASS.

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