Missouri vs. Georgia odds, props, predictions: Tigers have proven to be pesky ATS vs. Dawgs
Georgia is looking up at Ohio State in the initial CFP rankings and opens a very challenging month against the one team that can foil its plan of reaching a sixth SEC Championship game in seven years.
Missouri (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) is enjoying its best start since 2013 and led deep into the fourth quarter in its only loss against LSU, recovering from that disappointment by posting lopsided wins over Kentucky and South Carolina.
Analyzing Missouri vs. Georgia odds and props requires determining whether the Bulldogs have truly turned the corner after their sluggish start.
Although it has reached this point unscathed, Georgia (8-0, 2-5-1) failed to cover the spread in its first five contests, and although some of those numbers were immense, it did speak to how underwhelming its start was until the calendar reached October.
November brings these Tigers, followed by games at Tennessee and vs. Ole Miss as Georgia looks to remain undefeated and in position to become the first program to win three straight national championships since Army gained a piece of a third straight title back in 1946.
Missouri vs. Georgia odds: Point spread, moneyline, total
Here are the latest college football betting odds for the Tigers vs. Bulldogs:
Missouri odds and betting breakdown
A pick-six thrown by Brady Cook late killed a Missouri cover in that lone 49-39 loss vs. LSU in Columbia, so Eli Drinkwitz's group did give a solid account of their abilities against elite competition.
Cook threw for 411 yards against the Tigers from Baton Rouge, and has at least one TD toss in every game this season, surpassing last year's total with 15 TD passes against just three picks.
Missouri is averaging 33.7 points per game, ranking 20th in the nation in scoring and fourth in the SEC behind LSU, Georgia and Ole Miss.
The Tigers have impressive non-conference wins over Kansas State and Memphis on their resume, dominated Kentucky and were in position to defeat LSU.
Their rushing attack has excelled lately, with Cody Schrader scoring in five straight games. He ran for 159 yards on 26 carries, both career-highs, against South Carolina, and has topped the century mark four times. His 807 yards rank second in the SEC behind only Kentucky’s Ray Davis (823), while Cook is third in passing yards (2,259) behind LSU’s Jayden Daniels (2,573) and Georgia’s Carson Beck (2,462).
Mizzou hasn’t defeated Georgia in Athens since 2013 and has a nine-game losing streak against the Dawgs, although three of those setbacks have come by four points or less.
The Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS in this series over the last eight meetings, which includes last season’s 26-22 result that doubles as the tightest result Georgia has had during its current 24-game SEC regular-season win streak.
Georgia odds and betting breakdown
The two-time defending champs struggled to replace QB Stetson Bennett and have lost a ton of defense to the NFL – mostly to the Eagles – over the past few years.
After the aforementioned slow start, the Dawgs did rise up to crush a Kentucky team that came into their SEC East Division showdown unbeaten by a 51-13 count, easily covering a 15-point spread.
Last week, they were installed as just a 13.5-point favorite, the smallest number sportsbooks have saddled Georgia with all season, and overcame the absence of star tight end Brock Bowers and an early deficit to roll 43-20, allowing the Gators to score a cosmetic touchdown late. Georgia led by 30 in a game where 36 unanswered points allowed it to take control.
It's unlikely Kirby Smart's team will overlook the team that can complicate matters most for them. A win puts them in the driver's seat for another SEC East title and after how last season’s game in Missouri went, viewing the Tigers as a legitimate threat won’t require much convincing.
The Tigers scored first, led 13-0, were up 10 at halftime and got a 56-yard field goal from kicker Harrison Mevis, who has a 61-yard field goal this season, to go back up by 10 with just over 14 minutes left.
Daijun Edwards scored the go-ahead touchdown with 4:03 left and ran out the final 3:39 after the Tigers went three-and-out on their final possession, picking up three first downs on six consecutive carries. Edwards, a backup to current Seahawks rookie Kenny McIntosh last season, is now UGA’s leading rusher and splits time with explosive junior Kendall Milton. The backs have combined for 12 touchdowns, including three last week against the Gators.
Georgia is allowing just 15.9 points, seventh nationally and tops in the SEC. The Bulldogs’ scoring average of 39.4 points ranks eighth in the country and second in the SEC behind only LSU.
Their margin of victory of 23.5 points is third behind only Michigan (34.8) and Oregon (23.6). Beck has settled in and snapped a streak of three games throwing at least one interception by playing a clean game against Florida in Jacksonville.
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Missouri vs. Georgia prop picks
- Georgia WR Ladd McConkey OVER 58.5 receiving yards (-115)
- Missouri WR Luther Burden III anytime receiving TD (+120)
McConkey was last year’s leader in receiving yardage and stood out with Bowers sidelined, catching six passes for 135 yards against Florida. After missing Georgia’s first four games due to a back injury, he had only nine catches for just 107 yards entering last week’s “Cocktail Party.”
His efforts earned him SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors and books haven’t really adjusted for the likelihood of him remaining Beck’s top target with Bowers out at least another week due to an ankle injury.
Burden, a likely first-round pick and one of the nation’s most gifted receivers, was held to just three catches for 16 yards by Georgia last season and will be looking to rebound. He’s made at least five grabs and has gained at least 96 receiving yards in seven of Mizzou’s eight games this season, scoring six touchdowns.
Missouri vs. Georgia pick
Georgia is at its best when challenged, but Missouri is better than most give it credit for. Look for the scoreboard to get a workout in an entertaining game and ride the high side.
