NHL playoff parlay picks April 27: Bet on Jets’ Connor
Three NHL games are on Thursday’s slate with two potentially serving as series-enders.
The pregame narrative: Alex Killorn is on a scoring spree and notching a point seems like a reasonable ask for him. Dawson Mercer is ice cold and we’re not expecting much considering how low-scoring his series has been. Thirdly, Kyle Connor should continue to fire off plenty of shots.
NHL odds as of 10:24 a.m. on 04/27/2023.
NHL parlay picks
Parlay: Killorn to score 1+ point + Mercer to not score 1+ point + Connor over 3.5 shots (+451)
Killorn to score 1+ point (-134): The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning have done plenty of scoring, making any bet on offence a wise one in this series.
These two teams have cleared the over on a 6.5-goal total in each game and 11 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings. With all of this offence, it’s not surprising to see Killorn being a regular on the stat sheet.
The Lightning winger has a point in three of four games during the playoffs. His production is a continuation of his regular season success, as he has a point in 10 of his last 13 outings.
His usage is a major plus, too, as he plays inside Tampa Bay’s top six and on the first power-play unit.
Other parlay picks
Mercer not score 1+ point (-134): There was a time earlier this season when prop bettors were backing Mercer on a nightly basis. The young forward went on a 12-game point streak, totalling 20 points during this stretch.
He’s not producing anywhere near that rate lately. Mercer is pointless in seven of his last eight contests, registering just one point.
An offensive outburst from Mercer or the New Jersey Devils seems unlikely in Game 5. The game total for Thursday’s game against the New York Rangers is 5.5 goals, meaning we’re likely in for another low-scoring contest.
The losing team in each game of this series has scored just one goal.
Connor over 3.5 shots (-125): We’re viewing this as a fairly reasonable line for the guy who’s leading the NHL playoffs in shots.
Connor is in a four-way tie for first with 24 shots, but he’s the only player from the group who hasn’t played five games. Through four postseason contests, the Winnipeg Jets winger is averaging six shots per outing.
He did fall just short of this line in Game 4 with three, but his previous results are too good to ignore. Connor had eight shots in both Games 2 and 3 and five more in Game 1.
