Padres vs. Mariners prediction and odds for Tuesday, August 8 (Value on San Diego)
At the trade deadline it looked like the Seattle Mariners were throwing in the towel a bit when they sold off a few pieces, but now they have won five straight games to get to 60-52, just three games back of the final Wild Card spot.
They are the first team out in the AL right now and in the National League the San Diego Padres are a bit further back at 55-58 after buying at the deadline.
The Padres had a tough time against the Los Angeles Dodgers this weekend dropping three of four, but they're still just four games back of the Wild Card. Without Joe Musgrove, they need to rely on their bullpen much more until he returns.
For Game 1 of this west coast interleague series the Padres will hand the ball to Nick Martinez who is 5-4 with a 3.68 ERA in 48 appearances this year, all but five of those out of the bullpen. Seattle will counter with Logan Gilbert who is 9-5 with a 3.86.
Let’s get into the odds for Game 1 tonight in Seattle.
It was a tough weekend for the San Diego Padres and their pitching staff was not sharp, but they are eighth in team ERA this year at 3.84, so that’s typically a strength.
Their bullpen will be covering most of the innings, but they’ll hope for Martinez to get through three or four. This season, their starting pitching has been stronger than their bullpen which ranks 13th with a 3.93 ERA and a 4.34 FIP.
I’m not particularly high on San Diego’s pitching situation today, but even with the Mariners on a five game winning streak I’m not sure how much I believe in them.
Seattle won the last two games of their weekend set with the Angels 3-2 and four of this five-game streak have come against the Angels. I think that says more about L.A. with Shohei Ohtani struggling at the plate for the first time this season than it does about Seattle.
San Diego has been so unlucky this year, but they have a +63 run differential which is eighth in the MLB and better than Seattle’s +47.
It’s tough to keep riding with one of the most disappointing teams in baseball, but I like San Diego to win Game 1 in Seattle even against Logan Gilbert.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change
