Rays vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays (58-35) and Kansas City Royals (26-65) square off on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Kauffman Stadium.

The Royals are a heavy underdog (+247 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at home against the Rays (-305). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.

The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of July 14, 2023 at 7:21 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Rays vs Royals Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 78 times and won 52, or 66.7%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has played as favorites of -305 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The Rays have a 75.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of 93 games with a total.
• The Rays are 53-40-0 against the spread in their 93 chances this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Royals Betting Insights

• The Royals have been victorious in 23, or 29.5%, of the 78 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has played as an underdog of +247 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 28.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 91 opportunities.
• The Royals have an against the spread record of 35-56-0 in 91 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow

• When Glasnow starts, his team is 6-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
• Glasnow will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
• Glasnow’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-4).
• Glasnow’s team has won four of his eight starts this season.
• In Glasnow’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Royals Probable Pitcher – Alec Marsh

• Marsh (0-2) gets the starting nod for the Royals, his third this season.
• The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday, July 5 against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
• Marsh will try to record his second matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.5 innings per appearance.
• The Royals were the moneyline underdog for two Marsh starts this season — they lost both.
• His team has lost both of the matchups he’s appeared in this season.
• Marsh’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Rays Hitting Trends

• The Rays are 33-10 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
• Tampa Bay has gone 25-2 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club is 44-23 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
• Tampa Bay is 44-17 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Rays are 19-5 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

• They have won six of the 19 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Kansas City has gone 8-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have a record of 19-33 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 27 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 16-11.
• They have a 3-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-305)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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