Cubs Vs Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks
The Chicago Cubs (15-16) and Miami Marlins (16-16) square off on Friday at 2:20 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Wrigley Field.
The Cubs are favored at home (-164) against the Marlins (+139). The contest has an over/under of 9.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 4, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet?
Cubs vs Marlins Betting Lines
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been favorites in 18 games this season and won eight (44.4%) of those contests.
- Chicago has a record of 1-3 when favored by -164 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 62.1%.
- Games involving Chicago has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 13 of 31 chances this season.
- In 31 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 17-14-0 ATS.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been victorious in 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Miami has been victorious four times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 14 of 32 chances this season.
- The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 13-19-0 in 32 games with a line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- When Steele starts, his team is 4-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Steele will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- When Steele starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- Steele’s team has a 4-2 record in his starts this season.
- In games Steele has started this season, the teams are 3-3-0 at hitting the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera makes the start for the Marlins, his sixth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.67 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, the righty tossed five innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- Cabrera enters this matchup with three outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Marlins are 1-2 in Cabrera’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Cabrera’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
- Cabrera’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of five games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have hit at least two homers in 10 games this season, and are 8-2 in those outings.
- Chicago is undefeated in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 20 games this season, and is 13-7 in those contests.
- Chicago is 12-3 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs have gone 5-4 over the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in seven games this season and are 4-3 in those matchups.
- Miami ranks 21st in baseball, slugging .379.
- In 21 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 13-8.
- Miami has won seven of its eight games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-2
Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-164)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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