Sweden vs. Australia Picks, Predictions & Women's World Cup Odds

Sweden and Australia will face off in Brisbane for the FIFA Women’s World Cup third-place playoff, who will be up for it the most after their semifinal heartbreak? Read on for our Sweden vs. Australia picks based on the Women's World Cup odds from our best World Cup betting sites.

Sweden broke a record they never wanted on Tuesday, becoming the first team in Women’s World Cup history to have been eliminated at the semifinal stage on four occasions. They have won all three of their third-place playoffs, so can they become the only team to make it four? Check out our Women's World Cup odds.

Here is our best Sweden vs. Australia pick for the Women's World Cup (odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Sweden vs. Australia pick

Over 2.5 goals (+100 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Australian hearts were broken by England on Wednesday. They’ve had little time to dust themselves down for Saturday’s consolation match. The Matildas have scored 10 goals at this tournament and had kept clean sheets in four of their five World Cup matches before the 3-1 defeat to the Lionesses. 

Sweden scored 12 goals at this edition of the FIFA Women’s World Cup. Four of those goals came from defender Amanda Ilestedt. Ilestedt’s tally is tied for the second highest in the competition's scoring charts, two of those having been the crucial first of the match.

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Hayley Raso has been the most prolific player for Australia, netting on three occasions in this Women's World Cup campaign, including one match-opening goal.

Sweden have the second highest xG of all the four semifinalists (11.4). Australia’s xG is 10.4, which is the third highest of the final four. Both sides scored three goals in the knockout stages. 

When the two sides last met in action, Australia triumphed 4-0 in a friendly at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium last November.

The Over has been hit in five of the eight third-place playoffs at the Women’s World Cup. 

Sweden vs. Australia best odds

FanDuel (+100)

Historically, Sweden is the team that’s most up for this playoff match. It’s a tough contest to call because neither side wants to be here. Australia have had the best tournament in their history, their fans will be out in their numbers to congratulate the Matildas, but could that be a hindrance to the team? 

The Australians are +175 underdogs at Caesars. The same book has Sweden at +155 SU. Both teams to score is another option, the best odds for that play is -134 via FanDuel. 

Can Ilestedt find the net again? She’s +550 at bet365 as an anytime scorer. 

Neither side will be going all-out in this match, which could lead to goals. However tough it is to call a winner, the Over seems the best bet because both teams have been consistent scorers throughout the tournament. That consistency is why this play has four stars. 

Sweden vs. Australia game info

• Date: Saturday, Aug. 19, 4 a.m. ET
• TV: FOX US
• Location: Brisbane Stadium, Brisbane, Australia
• Weather: 63 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 9-mph winds

Sweden-Australia pick made 8/17/2023 at 4:10 a.m. ET.

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