Tabatha Ricci vs Loopy Godinez Pick, 11/11/2023 Predictions UFC 295 Odds

Madison Square Garden in New York City

Saturday, November 11, 2023

Tabatha Ricci will battle Loopy Godinez at UFC 295 on Saturday, November 11, 2023. The odds have Ricci priced at +140 while Godinez is coming in at -166.

Tabatha "Baby Shark" Ricci will be looking to add a victory to her total of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Loopy Godinez measures in at 5'2" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 61". Regarding significant strikes, Tabatha Ricci is connecting on 4.12 per min while Loopy Godinez lands 4.03 significant strikes per min. Ricci is landing 37% of the significant strikes she attempts and Godinez is connecting on 50%. Regarding defense, "Baby Shark" takes 4.45 significant strikes per min and Godinez allows 3.52. Ricci also deflects 61% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Godinez curbs 62% of the strikes thrown her way.

Concerning wrestling, Tabatha Ricci is the more effective grappler as she is able to score a takedown 4.23 times per 15 min. Ricci is finishing her takedown attempts on 48% of her tries and defending 66% of the takedowns her opponents try. Godinez is getting her opponent to the mat on 47% of her takedown tries and is defending 82% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Ricci is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Godinez goes for 1.3 submissions per 3 rds.

In her previous fight, Tabatha Ricci squared up with Gillian Robertson and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Robertson landed 78 of 225 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Ricci ended the night having landed 101 of 318 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Robertson ended up landing 76 of 219, which means her percentage was 34%. She landed 31 of 150 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Ricci ended up landing 31% of her significant strikes by landing 100 of 315. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 59 of 257 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Robertson and 95% of them landed by Ricci were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Loopy Godinez, she squared up with Elise Reed and wound up getting the victory via rear naked choke in round 2. Reed ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Godinez connected on 71% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Godinez ended up connecting on 67% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 21 of 31. She connected on 15 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. Reed connected on 3 of 13 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 0 of 6 to the head. Discussing the strikes she fired off in this contest, Reed was 34 of 48 and Godinez connected on 37 of 51 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jiri Prochazka opposes Alex Pereira. Prochazka looks to add a victory to his career total of 29-3-1. The 31-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Pereira stands in at 6'4" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 8-2-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 79". When it comes to wrestling, Jiri Prochazka is averaging a takedown 0.38 times per 3 rds while Alex Pereira gets a takedown 0.22 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Prochazka connects on 5.77 strikes/minute and lands 55% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Alex Pereira, who tags the opposition on 62% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 5.11 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Tom Aspinall is set to take on Sergei Pavlovich. Pavlovich looks to add a win to his career total of 18-1-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 257 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 84". Aspinall comes in at 6'5" and records a weight of 256 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 78". In terms of grappling, Sergei Pavlovich deflects 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries. Aspinall is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Pavlovich absorbs 4.33 strikes/minute while he deals 8.72 per min. Aspinall, on the other hand, takes 2.90 strikes/min and is dealing 7.65 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Loopy Godinez (-166)

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