Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (27-26) and Minnesota Twins (27-25) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Target Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Toronto lost 9-7 on Saturday as -110 road underdogs. The game was tied at 4 through the bottom of the 5th inning, until the Twins hit 4 HRs in the next 3 innings to take control. Toronto scored 3 runs in the 9th inning, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the Twins big bats.

Minnesota is 2-3 on his homestand, but has a 16-11 home record for the season. The Blue Jays are 2-3 in their last 5 games and are 14-17 on the road.

Blue Jays at Twins projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Berrios (4-4, 4.22 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 59 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K, in a 20-1 road win Tuesday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
• Career vs. Minnesota: 2-1 with a 5.01 ERA (23.1 IP, 23 ER), 18 H, 5 HR, 7 BB, 30 K in 4 starts

Ober (3-1, 2.55 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, x2.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 35 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K, in a 6-4 home loss Monday vs. San Francisco Giants
• Career vs. Toronto: 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA (9.1 IP, 5 ER), 8 H, 3 HR, 2 BB, 9 K in 2 starts

Blue Jays at Twins odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 a.m. ET.

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Blue Jays at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Twins 4

LEAN BLUE JAYS (-115).

Neither team has been hot lately and the teams are very evenly matched. The series is tied at 1-1 this season and tied at 5-5 in their last 10 matchups overall. The Blue Jays being 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota is the only thing that either team has an advantage on.

PASS. 

The Twins at +1.5 (-175) are enticing, but the line is too risky. If anything, a bet on the Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) might be in order, but best to stay with the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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BET OVER 8.5 (-110). 

For Toronto the Over is 3-0-1 in Berrios’ last 4 starts after allowing 5+ runs in their previous game. For the Blue Jays the Over is also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a less than 1.15 WHIP and 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5+ runs in their previous game.

The Over is also 7-2 in the last 9 meetings overall.

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