Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (31-27) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the New York Mets (30-28) Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0.

On Friday, the Blue Jays secured a 3-0 victory over the Mets. Toronto has won 5 of its last 7 games, though, it is still 9 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for 1st place in the AL East.

In Friday’s shutout loss, the lone bright spot for the Mets was RHP Justin Verlander striking out 8 batters and allowing only 1 earned run in a 117-pitch outing. Despite the loss, New York is only 3 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves for 1st place in the NL East.

Blue Jays at Mets projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Berrios (5-4, 3.86 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.

• After allowing a combined 20 ER in his first 6 starts, he’s given up only 8 total ER in his last 5 starts.
• Has notched 5-plus K’s in 8 of his first 11 starts.

Megill (5-3, 4.67 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 54 IP.

• Has surrendered multiple ER in 9 of his first 11 starts.
• Has also walked 2-plus batters in 9 of his first 11 starts.

Blue Jays at Mets odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

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Blue Jays at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Mets 3

After taking the first game of the series, I’ll back the BLUE JAYS (-115) on the road in Saturday’s interleague bout. Berrios has pitched better for Toronto in recent outings, recording a win in 3 of his last 5 starts.

PASS.

While I have the Blue Jays winning Saturday, the Mets should be able to keep this game within 2 runs. Wagering on New York’s run line isn’t worth the risk unless you can get it at -160 odds or better.

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All signs point toward UNDER 8.5 (+100) being the correct choice in this game. Berrios has been better in recent starts, and Toronto has produced 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10 games.

The Blue Jays are 4-0-1 to the Under in their last 5 games overall, and the Mets are 4-0 to the Under in their last 4 games overall. Plus, the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in New York.

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