Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

The Houston Astros (35-24) will begin a 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays (33-27) on Monday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 2-1

The Astros lost 2-1 to the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, snapping a 3-game winning streak. Houston is only 3 1/2 games back of the Texas Rangers for 1st place in the AL West.

On Sunday, the Blue Jays defeated the New York Mets 6-4 to give them 4 consecutive wins. Despite winning 7 of its last 10 games, Toronto is still 8 1/2 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

Astros at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Brandon Bielak vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Beilak (2-2, 3.19 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 31 innings.

• Has surrendered fewer than 2 ER in 3 of his 5 starts
• Has also allowed 5 HRs in his 5 starts

Manoah (1-6, 5.46 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.77 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 57 2/3 innings.

• Has given up multiple ER in 10 of his first 12 starts.
• Walks have been a major issue; has walked 3 or more batters in 8 of his 12 starts

Astros at Blue Jays odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

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Astros at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Blue Jays 5

With Manoah struggling mightily this season, I’ll back the ASTROS (+100) on the road. While the Blue Jays are 15-10 at home, the Astros are 17-10 on the road this season.

PASS.

The Astros should keep this game within 2 runs and I have them winning outright. That being said, taking Houston to cover the run line isn’t worth the risk at the current odds (-185).

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OVER 10 (-110) is the lean in this AL matchup with the underlying numbers for Bielak and Manoah. The Astros and the Blue Jays are both swinging hot bats, and the pitchers in this game are both producing hard-hit rates of 42% or higher.

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