West Ham v Manchester United: Best bets for Sunday’s Premier League and League One games

Our betting expert with tips for Manchester United at West Ham, Newcastle's massive game against Arsenal and the final day of the League One regular season PLUS Serie A angle

Bet on a right knees-up in the East End, and very possibly an elbow up too.

Things could get spicy as Manchester United head to West Ham (7pm) under pressure after yet another awayday calamity in midweek.

Luke Shaw handed Brighton their decisive 99th-minute penalty, then pointed out that it wouldn’t have mattered quite so much if United had scored more goals than none at all. There’s no arguing with that.

Football’s a simple game, clearly, and the simple truth is West Ham have a more important fixture on Thursday.

Who knows what they will or won’t throw at today’s match, but parking the bus for a bit has to be on David Moyes’s list of maybes.

We’ve now gone beyond the point of caring in terms of Prem totting-up bans for yellow cards – and bookings could be the angle here.

Unlike Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool, Manchester United score more cards than goals.

Referee Peter Bankes averages over four per game – so the 6/5 (Paddy) ‘OVER 3.5 cards’ looks a fair coinflip.

The likeliest lads ‘to be shown a card’ on this season’s data are Casemiro at 5/2 (Unibet) and Shaw at 3/1 (Bet365). Both look right.

It’s the final day of the regular season in League One, and if you’re having a lie-in you’ve missed the start. Whatever the logic of noon kick-offs, Morecambe fans driving six hours to Exeter do get an exciting opportunity to stop and buy a tikka slice in their jim-jams.

Shrimp ace Cole Stockton rates an ‘anytime scorer’ single at 11/4 (Hills) – and have an ‘anytime’ double with Cambridge’s Sam Smith, too, it pays over 15/2 (Hills).

You can’t really say Arsenal have gone full ‘Spursy’, not while Spurs are so heroically asserting the copyright on their signature move. In fact, the Gunners’ poor April was at worst just three points shy of their forecast average for that run of fixtures.

They head to Newcastle (4.30pm) with no reason to fear rolling the dice. It could be a ding-dong goalfest - Joelinton ‘scores a header’ at 22/1 (Skybet) rings my bell.

Over in Italy, Verona’s trip to fellow strugglers Lecce (7.45pm) will be a squeaky one in Serie A – the DRAW could suit both at 21/10 (Paddy, Coral).

Last week: Winners at 17/10 and 21/20