White Sox vs. Blue Jays prop bets: Fade Springer on run prop

As the Toronto Blue Jays get set for a new series with the Chicago White Sox, we’re fading the Jays’ leadoff hitter and backing a part-time player.

The pregame narrative: George Springer hasn’t stepped on home plate much since the season opener, and there’s value in fading his run prop tonight. Conversely, we’re tailing Brandon Belt to get a hit while wielding the lefty/right platoon edge.

Here are our top White Sox vs. Blue Jays prop bets for April 24.

MLB odds as of 11:40 a.m. ET on 04/24/23.

White Sox vs. Blue Jays prop bets

Best Bet: Bassitt under 18.5 outs, Jimenez 1+ hits (+102)

Chris Bassitt is in a groove right now, tossing three consecutive quality starts after his meltdown in St. Louis to start the year.

Still, he’s only cleared this outs line once in four starts this year, and Toronto’s rested bullpen means a deep start from Bassitt tonight shouldn’t be necessary.

None of the Jays’ relievers have worked back-to-back outings entering Monday, while three players — Zach Pop, Trevor Richards and Tim Mayza — have all worked just once each in the past week.

Without trying to dig too deeply into manager John Schneider’s psyche, it’s worth noting that relief pitchers need semi-regular work to stay sharp, and there could be some innings-eating opportunities tonight — even if Bassitt is dealing.

Let’s also not assume Bassitt will be dealing. Yes, the White Sox have been a subpar offence (.620 OPS, 20th in MLB), but most starters have been mediocre against them.

Starting pitchers have an average Game Score of 48.9 against Chicago, which is below the league standard (50).

With all that said, Bassitt under 18.5 outs (-177) carries too much juice on its own. So we’ve tacked on Eloy Jimenez to record a hit, which he’s done in six straight games.

Jimenez is also 3-for-5 lifetime against Bassitt and has a respectable .279 career batting average against righties.

Key stat: Since the start of last season, Bassitt has recorded under 18.5 outs in 21 of 34 starts (61.8%).

Quick picks

Springer under 0.5 runs (-114): Betting on Springer to score a run was one of our favourite props from last season, and he made a great first impression in 2023 by scoring four times on Opening Day.

But since then, Springer has totally flopped on this prop.

He’s finished without a run in five of his past six games, as well as 14 of 22 games this year (63.6%). That’s well below this line’s implied probability (53.3%), so we’ve got plenty of value to back this up.

Belt over 0.5 hits (-130): Belt’s first month in Toronto hasn’t been great, but he’s quietly batting 7-for-23 (.304) in his past seven games and should draw into the lineup for tonight.

His platoon advantage against the right-handed Lynn is something we like for this pick, as Belt has a .272 BA and a 146 wRC+ against RHPs since 2020.

On an individual level, Belt is 6-for-16 off Lynn in his career.

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