2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, field: PGA picks, predictions from proven model that's nailed 7 majors

Rory McIlroy finished 10th in the Genesis Invitational two weeks ago. He's one of the favorites to win the 2022 Arnold Palmer Invite at Bay Hill. SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and its model predicted Jon Rahm to be the winner. It also nailed 7 majors.  

The model predicts Adam Scott will win the 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational. It also predicts McIlroy will finish outside the top-five. McIroy has struggled with his accuracy off the tee this season. Scott has a better chance to win than his odds imply. He tied the course record with a 62 in the first round at Bay Hill in 2014. He also finished in third place in 2013, 2014 and 2016.

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 30-1 or higher who will make surprising runs.

Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Hideki Matsuyama, Matt Fitzpatrick, Marc Leishman, Will Zalatoris, Tyrrell Hatton, Adam Scott, Paul Casey, Jason Kokrak, Sam Burns, Keith Mitchell, Sergio Garcia, Tommy Fleetwood, Talor Gooch, Gary Woodland and Maverick McNealy are the other golfers in the Arnold Palmer Invitational.