2023 US Open odds, predictions: Four picks to win at LA Country Club
The 2023 U.S. Open is set to get underway on Thursday morning at Los Angeles Country Club.
It’s the first time this course – which was renovated in 2010 – will host a major championship.
There’s no surprise at the top of the betting board. Scottie Scheffler is in the midst of one of the most impressive seasons in PGA Tour history and is deserving of his status as the betting favorite at LACC.
Scheffler is +700 to win this week, putting him in his own tier ahead of Jon Rahm and Brooks Koepka, who are both listed at +1100.
Rory McIlroy (+1300), Patrick Cantlay (+1700), and Viktor Hovland (+1700) are the only other golfers listed under +2000 at FanDuel.
Because of how tough it usually plays, the U.S. Open has the reputation of a tournament where you want to bet into the chaos.
That usually means taking some shots down the board and hoping you find the last man standing.
But it’s actually been the middle of the board that has produced the most winners over the last decade.
Two of the outright favorites — Rahm in 2021 and Jordan Spieth in 2015 — have lifted the trophy, but seven of the eight other winners in the last 10 years have teed off between +2500 and +6000 (lines courtesy of golfodds.com):
- 2022: Matt Fitzpatrick (+3000)
- 2021: Jon Rahm (+1000)
- 2020: Bryson DeChambeau (+2500)
- 2019: Gary Woodland (+6000)
- 2018: Brooks Koepka (+2500)
- 2017: Brooks Koepka (+3000)
- 2016: Dustin Johnson (+1200)
- 2015: Jordan Spieth (+800)
- 2014: Martin Kaymer (+4000)
- 2013: Justin Rose (+2500)
With that in mind, let’s focus on the middle of the board and highlight four players that are worth a punt at great numbers:
2023 US Open picks
Hideki Matsuyama (+4500, Caesars)
It does feel like Hideki Matsuyama flies under the radar in elite fields.
On the one hand, it makes sense since he’s not put together a stretch of golf as we’ve seen out of the players above him, but on the other hand, he’s won a major and has hardly put a foot wrong this season.
Matsuyama has played 12 traditional events in 2023 and has finished inside the top-20 five times and missed just two cuts.
He may not have any wins since the 2022 Sony Open, but he’s a major champion on a course (Augusta National) that poses similar questions to what we’ll see at LACC.
Whether Matsuyama can hold his nerve on the dance floor is a legitimate question, but the rest of his game is good enough that you can take a chance at this number and pray for a hot putting week.
Sungjae Im (+5000, FanDuel)
Things have been quiet lately for Sungjae Im, but that is offering us a chance to buy the dip.
Im has missed two of his last three cuts and finished T41 in his last outing, but before that, he posted five top-10s and seven top-20s in 10 starts between late January and early May.
We know that the South Korean has the all-around game to win at any track, and his short game could be the difference on a course that will fool plenty of players around the green.
Jason Day (+5000, FanDuel)
Betting on golf is all about what have you done for me lately.
And Jason Day is a perfect example of that. Day won the AT&T Byron Nelson on May 14 and then went off at +2500 at the PGA Championship and +2700 to win the Memorial.
He missed the cut at both of those events and is now double the odds at the U.S. Open.
It’s a great opportunity to buy low on a player that has been terrific for the lion’s share of 2023.
Shane Lowry (+6000, Caesars)
Anytime the going gets tough, you want to be on Shane Lowry at these kinds of prices.
Lowry has proven to be a big-game hunter in his career, and this year has been no different.
Lowry finished T12 at the Masters, T16 at the PGA Championship, and T16 at the Memorial.
Not only does Lowry own a Claret Jug, but he’s finished inside the top-5 in all four major championships in his career.
If this ends up being a grueling test, Lowry could fancy it.
