2024 MLB Best Bets for Season Leaders Props
The 2024 MLB regular season is rapidly approaching. We used to wait until April for Opening Day, but Major League Baseball has moved it up to the March 28. That is just three weeks from the time of this writing.
So, of course, we already know who will finish the regular season as the home run leader or stolen base leader. I wish we did know, but one advantage of picking and betting on a baseball future this early is that these might be the best odds we see all year.
If Aaron Judge jumps out to a big lead in the MLB home run race early in the season and stays ahead, you can forget about the beefy betting odds you will see in a moment.
I am embellishing a bit. These odds aren’t so beefy at the moment, but I just couldn’t come off of an Aaron Judge prediction to lead the league in home runs.
Let's talk about him for a minute, and then we will move on to the rest of our MLB best bets for the various season leaders in 2024.
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Home Runs
Aaron Judge: +350
Hey, as an Atlanta Braves fan, I love Matt Olsen as much as anybody. He led the majors last season in home runs with 54. That was a club record, too, but the Yankee record/all-time MLB record is held by the aforementioned Judge.
An uber athlete, who also happens to be extremely technical in his approach to the game, has one of the most intimidating frames and musculatures we have seen since the steroid era.
If he had not been hurt last year, he likely would have led the league in dingers again. He had 37 homers in 367 at-bats. You don't need a calculator to see that he hit a home run about every 10 at-bats.
That is 2 at-bats less than his career average of 11.99.
However, the Yankees said hold my beer. We are going to bring in Juan Soto to hit not in front but behind Judge. We might just see him break his own single-season home run record in 2024.
RBIs
Freddie Freeman: +1500
Freddie Freeman has never been a lead-the-league in RBIs kind of guy. I'm aware of that. He has also never hit directly behind Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani. Maybe the Dodgers' new addition clears the bases before Freddie can get his chance, but I love the 15 to 1 here.
Last season without Ohtani in the lineup, Max Muncy and J.D. Martinez shared the 3rd and 4th spots in the betting order, respectively. They also combined for over 200 RBIs.
Freeman himself got more than 100 last season. If pitchers pick Freeman as the guy they will let beat them over Ohtani, then we may have a (+1500) play cashed by the end of the year.
Stolen Bases
Esteury Ruiz: +280
I am already hearing that the knee of Ronald Acuna Jr. is acting up. Either way, I was projecting a down year for one of my favorite players.
Acuna, of course, led the majors in steals last season, becoming the first Major League player ever to record a 40/70 season.
I can remember keeping an eye on the steals statistics all season, and Esteury Ruiz was almost more efficient than Acuna robbing bags, and he almost eclipsed him by the end of the year.
Ruiz runs far more often. His on-base percentage is barely .300. while Acuna is above .400. Ruiz is going to run, though. Ronald got the big stats last season. I think he will be focused more on staying healthy in 2024.
Wins
Yoshinobu Yamamoto: +800
The Los Angeles Dodgers' new signing from Japan, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, is already my dark horse to win the Cy Young. I love his (+800) betting odds to lead the league in wins even more!
Maybe Spencer Strider has more strikeouts, and maybe a couple of other starters have a better ERA or WHIP, but the Dodgers will win ball games… and by large margins.
Combine that with the fact that Yamamoto is a three-time league MVP and has won the pitching triple crown of best ERA, most wins, and most strikeouts several times already. I love these odds more than any we have covered today!
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