Arizona Diamondbacks at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks (57-53) kick off the final leg of a 7-game road trip with the opener of a 3-game set against the Minnesota Twins (56-54) on Friday. First pitch from Target Field is at 8:10 p.m, ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Diamondbacks won the season series 2-1 in 2022

The Diamondbacks enter this series on a 3-game losing streak after suffering a 1-0 loss to the San Francisco Giants on Thursday. Arizona is 3-11 in its last 14 games and has fallen from 1st place in the NL West to 3rd place, 6 1/2 games back of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Twins just wrapped up a 2-4 road trip, taking 2 out of 3 from the St. Louis Cardinals to start the week with a 5-3 win on Thursday. They have lost 6 out of 8 overall. Minnesota leads the AL Central by 2 1/2 games over the Cleveland Guardians.

Diamondbacks at Twins projected starters

RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Kelly (9-5, 3.23 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 106 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-0 home loss to Seattle Mariners Sunday
• 2023 road stats: 6-1 with 2.74 ERA over 8 starts

Ober (6-5, 3.19 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 98 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 11 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 10-7 road loss to Kansas City Royals Saturday
• 2023 home starts: 2-3 with 2.98 ERA across 10 starts

Diamondbacks at Twins odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:18 a.m. ET.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Diamondbacks at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Twins 3

Kelly has been fantastic on the road for the Diamondbacks this season and Ober has a sub-3.00 ERA at home.

The Diamondbacks are 29-25 on the road; the Twins are 30-24 at home.

Arizona has scored at least 4 runs only twice in the last 7 games but both games were wins.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+105).

The Diamondbacks are 58-52 ATS overall this season, while the Twins are 51-59 ATS overall, the 6th-worst mark in the majors.

The Diamondbacks covered the spread in a 1-0 loss on Thursday, but the previous 4 times they covered were outright wins.

Betting them -190 to cover isn’t worth the action despite that all 4 of the Twins’ last 4 wins have only been by 1 run.

PASS.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Only 1 out of the Diamondbacks’ last 9 games has surpassed 8 total runs.

Three of the Twins’ last 4 games have not reached 9 total runs.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup