Braves vs. Phillies odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for NLDS Game 4 matchup

Game 4 of the NLDS matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies is set for 8:07 p.m. ET on Thursday. The Phillies lead the best-of-five series by a 2-1 margin and can advance to the NLCS with a win. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Atlanta as a -149 favorite on the money line, while the over/under is set at 8.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). Before making any Braves vs. Phillies picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the second week of the 2023 MLB playoffs 92-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns!

The model knows the Braves will hand the ball to one of the game's best pitchers in Spencer Strider. The 2023 All-Star led the NL with 285 strikeouts and 13.5 strikeouts per nine innings this season. Strider also finished in the top five of the NL in WHIP and hit rate allowed, and he produced a 3.36 ERA on the road in 2023. Strider was also potent in Game 1, limiting Philadelphia to only one earned run across seven innings. The model also knows the Phillies are red-hot. Philadelphia has a .521 slugging percentage and .869 OPS in the playoffs, belting ten home runs in five games. The Phillies also lead the playoffs with nine stolen bases, and Bryce Harper has a 1.382 OPS with three home runs in the 2023 postseason.

Now, it has set its sights on Braves vs. Phillies. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one team has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.