Bryce Harper Odds & Props

Covers

26 October 2023

Bryce Harper continues to rise to the occasion in the postseason and his services will be called upon in a do-or-die Game 7 against the Diamondbacks. As discussed in our spotlight picks, we expect the superstar to deliver once more.

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Tonight will mark the end of the road of this year's NCLS with the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks all knotted up at three games apiece.

This one is sure to be great with two pitchers who have had plenty of success in the series pitted against each other, but might we see an offensive showcase out of a certain Phillies superstar here?

Our breakdown of the Bryce Harper odds certainly thinks so. Keep reading for my free MLB picks Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks as well.

Bryce Harper MLB prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Bryce Harper MLB prop pick

Over 1.5 total bases (+125)

Bryce Harper didn’t exactly have the best showing against Brandon Pfaadt when he met him for the first time in Game 3 of this series. The left-handed slugger was hitless in two plate appearances before drawing a pair of walks against Arizona’s bullpen.

While that wasn’t his night, Game 7 very well may be. Against a fly ball pitcher in Pfaadt, Harper managed to keep the ball on the ground, and while that didn’t lead to a hit, he still hit the ball hard with an average exit velocity of 92 mph and produced a .254 expected batting average.

Harper should be more than capable of hitting Pfaadt now that he’s had two plate appearances to feel him out, and given Pfaadt is primarily a fastball and sweeper pitcher I feel even better.

This is one of the best in the world at hitting breaking pitches and he should be able to come up with an extra-base hit given he hit the ball hard twice against Pfaadt last time out.

There’s also a chance Harper will hit against Andrew Saalfrank once again — a pitcher he's faired incredibly well against with two walks in three plate appearances and one expected double which turned into an out in the spacious Chase Field.

Expect him to make some noise as the Phillies look to seal the deal.

Prop: Over 1.5 total bases (+125 at DraftKings)

Bryce Harper MLB same-game parlay

Phillies ML (-168)

Bryce Harper to record 2+ total bases (+100)

Brandon Marsh to record a hit (-160)

The Phillies struggled against Pfaadt — a pitcher they had never seen before — in Game 3. It’s not uncommon to see this team do so against a rookie pitcher, but with some better reads on him, I’d anticipate a better offensive showing in Game 7.

I’d also point out that Pfaadt is firmly a fly ball pitcher, coming in around eight points higher than the league average for the season, and against such a pitcher in a spacious park such as Chase Field, it was simply never going to be a good matchup.

With the series now in Philly — a glorious park for a fly ball hitter — I think this offense should leave the yard several times and win this game over a team that has struggled to hit all season.

I’m also keyed in on Brandon Marsh, who's had an excellent series and was one of two Phillies to record a hit against Pfaadt in Game 3, ripping a no-doubt double in one of his two plate appearances.

He’s seeing the ball incredibly well right now and could be afforded four plate appearances if this Phillies offense wakes up as I expect it to.

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