Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 8/24/2023 Game Picks
Cincinnati Reds (65-61) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (66-61)
tCincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 8/24/2023 – The Cincinnati Reds will commence a four-game series in Phoenix on Thursday night against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Cincinnati maintains a record four games above the .500 mark and is trailed by four National League Central games. In their recent matchup, they secured a narrow one-run victory over the Los Angeles Angels. Regarding offensive performance, Cincinnati’s consistency has fluctuated throughout the season. Over the course of 126 games, the Reds have amassed 1061 hits, resulting in 591 runs. Spencer Steer is a standout in the lineup, who has contributed significantly with eighteen home runs and 67 RBIs. Notably, TJ Friedl holds the title for the most reliable bat, maintaining a solid .276 batting average.
On the other side, the Arizona Diamondbacks are in the midst of a home stand and enter Thursday’s game with a record five games above .500, riding a four-game winning streak following a triumphant three-run victory over the Texas Rangers. As the 23rd outing of the season approaches, Merrill Kelly will take the mound. With a commendable performance, Kelly boasts a record five games above .500 for the year and maintains a 3.13 ERA. He has conceded only 51 runs on 104 hits across 129.1 innings of work. Kelly’s dominance has been particularly evident at home, where he has allowed a mere 26 runs in 66 innings over 11 appearances. For free consensus MLB picks, explore our insights.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks Game Info
Brandon Williamson (4-3, ERA: 4.47) vs Merrill Kelly (10-5, ERA: 3.13)
On Thursday in Phoenix, Brandon Williamson will start for the D-Backs. In his 17 starts (86.2 innings pitched) in 2023, the 25-year-old rookie left-hander is 4-3 with a 4.47 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 76/32 K/BB ratio. Williamson made four starts this month and has a record of 1-1, a 4.43 ERA, 3.76 FIP, and a 0.613 opposition OPS in 22.1 innings pitched. He lost last Saturday in a 4-3 setback to the Toronto Blue Jays after tossing 5.2 innings and allowing four earned runs on nine hits and a walk.
On Thursday, Merrill Kelly, a 34-year-old right-hander who made 22 starts (129.1 IP) this year, will take the mound for the Diamondbacks. Merrill Kelly is 10-5 with a respectable 3.13 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 134/49 K/BB ratio. Kelly has a 1-0 record, a 2.70 ERA, a 5.63 FIP, and a 0.808 opposition OPS in 23.1 innings of work during his past four August starts. This past Saturday, he defeated the San Diego Padres 6-4, allowing three earned runs on five hits and four walks over 5.1 innings.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks -155, Total Odds: 9
Merrill Kelly is set to face the Reds for the first time this season. He holds a record of 2-1 in his career with a 3.00 ERA from four previous starts against Cincinnati. Interestingly, the current lineup of the Reds has managed to garner only a 3-for-18 performance against Kelly. On the opposing side, the current Diamondbacks lineup has had limited success, going just 2-for-13 with a double against Brandon Williamson.
In recent performance, the Diamondbacks have exhibited a 78 wRC+ and .173 ISO against left-handed pitchers over the last ten days, totaling 49 plate appearances. Conversely, Cincinnati has displayed a 91 wRC+ and .187 ISO against right-handed pitchers in that same time frame, accounting for 220 plate appearances.
Leans towards the Diamondbacks, mainly due to their advantage of having had a day off on Wednesday, compared to the Reds, who had to engage in a doubleheader against the Angels. Although the Reds’ bullpen has showcased an impressive 1.50 ERA alongside a 3.57 FIP in the past ten days, the strain from Wednesday’s doubleheader might result in some fatigued arms.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
This season, the Reds faced 93 games when they were the underdogs; in 47 of those games, they won (50.5%).
When favored by +139 or less this year, Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 15-17.
According to the moneyline odds for this game, the Reds have a 41.8% probability of winning.
Cincinnati’s games have exceeded the total in 64 of its 127 chances.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Diamondbacks won 33 of the 55 (60%)games this season in which they were favored.
Arizona is 11-2 this year when they enter a game with a moneyline advantage of -164 or more.
The moneyline established for this game suggests that the Diamondbacks have a 62.1% probability of winning.
This season, 54 of 127 opportunities involving games featuring Arizona saw the total go over.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 8/24/2023 Betting Picks
This season, the Reds have a 79-48-0 record against the spread, while the Diamondbacks have a 71-56-0 mark. The Diamondbacks are now playing much better baseball and will look to maintain this trend against a struggling Cincinnati squad on Wednesday. Since Arizona will be playing at home and have a stronger pitcher on the mound, I expect them to dominate on both sides of the bat. Arizona will defeat Cincinnati at home on Thursday in an effort to extend their winning run. For 2023 free expert sports picks, explore our insights.
