College Football Player Props Bowl Week: Predictions, Picks for Saturday
Our college football player props based on the best NCAAF odds get you prepared for the first Saturday of bowl season.
Bowl season is here, and we aim to maintain success with player props during this postseason. For those not following me on X, where I posted a final regular-season update, my player props achieved a 52-42 record for +13.1 units through Championship Weekend.
But bowl season presents a different game. Each day brings opt-outs and transfer news to monitor. These rosters experience complete flux and the task of projecting which team will be more motivated in each bowl game. Placing a bet involves considering all these factors, and then one has to hope it all unfolds as anticipated on the football field.
Maintaining success in props betting throughout this bowl season will be difficult, but that's why carefully decided on our wagers. Be sure to check out Mike Spector's college football best bets for Saturday.
With the action set to get underway this Saturday, here are our best college football player props for this weekend (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
College football player props for Saturday
- George Holani (Boise State) Under 73.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) vs. UCLA ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Coy Eakin (Texas Tech) Over 50.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) vs. Cal ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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CFB player props for Saturday
George Holani (Boise State) Under 73.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) vs. UCLA ⭐⭐⭐⭐
If Hollywood were in charge of this script, Boise State running back George Holani would end his career with a memorable performance against UCLA in the LA Bowl on Saturday. But things don't always turn out like they do in the movies.
With quarterback Taylen Green in the transfer portal, the Broncos are expected to give true freshman CJ Tiller the start under center. The Bruins will likely load the box and force the three-star quarterback to beat them through the air. UCLA's defense ranked 43rd in the country in success rate against the run this year and was 11th in overall EPA per play.
Boise State wants to run the ball, and that's certainly no secret to anyone. The Broncos ran for 301 yards on 51 attempts in their victory over the UNLV Rebels during the Mountain West championship game. The problem is that star tailback Ashton Jeanty has started to come on down the stretch.
Jeanty has posted consecutive 100-yard performances entering this weekend, recording triple-digit rushing performances in five of his last eight outings. He's also more of the receiving threat, recording 39 catches for 552 yards on the year. Jeanty and Holani have had an even split in snaps and rushing attempts in recent weeks, but don't be surprised if the former is involved more if Boise State is trailing at some point.
Holani has only received more than 16 carries in a game twice this season, and we anticipate him having a more difficult time finding open lanes against this UCLA defensive front. With a projection just below 60 rushing yards, there is value in taking his current Under.
George Holani college football player props made 12/14/2023 at 10:45 a.m. ET.
Coy Eakin (Texas Tech) Over 50.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) vs. Cal ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Most bettors might be scared off from betting Texas Tech receiving props, but I believe there is value in wading through the murky waters of this receiver room. The Red Raiders had their top-two starting receivers hit the transfer portal, which has created some uncertainty about the pecking order entering Saturday's Independence Bowl matchup against California.
Head coach Joey McGuire has said that Jordan Brown and Coy Eakin will start on the outside, with Drae McCray and Xavier White getting a majority of the slot snaps. Eakin (a redshirt freshman) has the highest receiving yardage prop at most of our best sports betting apps, with the exception of FanDuel, which has White (senior) sitting about four yards higher than Eakin.
In this case, we believe FanDuel has made the mistake. Eakin has really hit his stride in recent weeks, recording at least five starts in each of the last four games. In a loss to Texas during the regular-season finale, Eakin saw twice as many targets (10) as anyone else and produced four catches for 27 yards in a loss to Texas.
The workload is what we care about, however, especially since Eakin and the Red Raiders have a more favorable matchup. California ranks 129th (out of 133 teams) in passing yards allowed per game this season. Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton, who started every game down the stretch when Eakin was becoming more involved, is expected to be closer to 100% as well.
Take advantage of the unknown and bet on Eakin to deliver for the Red Raiders in a late-night matchup on Saturday. We think both Eakin and TTU are going to surprise many.
Coy Eakin college football player props made 12/14/2023 at 4:15 p.m. ET.
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