Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds

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10 October 2023

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds

The Arizona Diamondbacks are one win over theLos Angeles Dodgers away from the NLCS, and we have you covered with our bestDodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction for Game 3 based on the best MLB odds.

The Arizona Diamondbacks took both games in Los Angeles by a combinedscore of 15-4 and now look for one more win over their division rivals to sendthem to their first NLCS since 2007.

The Los Angeles Dodgers joined this year’s BaltimoreOrioles as two of three teams in the 118-year history of the MLB playoffs towin 100 games and lose both of their first two postseason games at home, per ESPN Stats & Info.

Through two games this series, the Diamondbacks have overtaken the Dodgers in the World Series odds from our best sportsbooks. Starter Corbin Carroll has soared up the World Series MVP oddsboard.

Here is our best Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction for Game 3 (odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: NLDS Game 3

Over 9.5 (-115 viaFanDuel, BetMGM, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

On paper, the Diamondbacks are not a bad matchup for Dodgersrighty Lance Lynn, who allowed 44 home runs in 183 2/3 innings this year, asArizona’s 166 home runs ranked 22nd in the regular season. However, theDiamondbacks mashed more home runs (four) than any team in the Wild Card round,and they ranked 13th in slugging and wOBA and 10th in BABIP in home games thisyear.

Even if the Diamondbacks do not hit the ball over the fence withregularity in Game 3, they should be highly successful on the basepaths.Arizona stole the second-most bases in the regular season and looks to take advantageof Dodgers catcher Will Smith behind the plate, who threw out just 21% (19 of91) of base-stealers this season. The Diamondbacks stole four bases in Game 2compared to just one caught stealing, and their wheels should be in motionagain.

While Los Angeles had to deal with Arizona’s elite 1-2 punch ofMerrill Kelly and Zac Gallen in the first two games, there is a significantdrop-off to Brandon Pfaadt, who only recorded eight outs and allowed seven hitsin Game 1 of the Wild Card series against the Milwaukee Brewers. Pfaadt wasbailed out by a bullpen that threw 6 1/3 scoreless innings, but do not bank onthat again, as Diamondbacks relievers ranked 21st in xFIP since Aug. 1.

This is a four-star play, as we should see plenty of a taxedDodgers bullpen again. This unit had to piece together 16 innings over theprevious two games after their starters combined to throw just two innings.

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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks best odds

FanDuel, BetMGM, bet365 -115

Overbackers have no choice but to pay extra juice at all five of our best sportsbooks, but FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365 offer the best value at -115 odds.BetRivers is the only sportsbook offering a total of 10 runs at the moment, butit would be a no-play for us at that higher line.

The Dodgers have hit the Over in 50 of their last 79 away games.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds

None of the best sports betting sites have moved off their original totals thus far, and DraftKings is theonly one to change its price from Monday night into Tuesday morning, going from-115 to -118 to back the Over.

FanDuelhas the lowest moneyline odds to back the Dodgers (-144), while BetRivers is onthe high end at -150. Los Angeles is 3-9 in its last 12 postseason games, whileArizona is 8-0 in its last eight games as underdogs against National Leagueopponents.