Hawks vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Atlanta Hawks (34-35) are slight favorites against the Golden State Warriors (36-34) on March 17, 2023 in a game oddsmakers project to be a hard-fought matchup. Atlanta and Trae Young are a 1.5-point favorite against Jordan Poole and Golden State. A 247.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Hawks vs. Warriors Odds

• Hawks odds to win: -127
• Warriors odds to win: +106
• Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
• Total: 247.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, March 17, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: NBA TV, BSSE, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Hawks vs. Warriors?

Hawks and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 1.5 points or more, the Hawks have a 12-23-1 record against the spread.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 1.5 points or more, the Warriors have a 9-11 record against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 12 fewer points per game, 235.5, than this game’s over/under of 247.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 12.3 fewer points per game (235.2) than this game’s over/under of 247.5 points.

The average point total for Hawks games this season is 12.7 fewer points than the total of 247.5 in this matchup.

Golden State’s games this season have averaged a total of 236 points, 11.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Atlanta is 29-38-2 against the spread this season.

The Warriors have a 33-36-1 record against the spread this year.

Hawks Stats & Insights

The Hawks score 117.2 points per game (fifth in the NBA) and give up 117.5 (23rd in the league) for a -18 scoring differential overall.

The Hawks are 12th in the league at 43.7 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.6 their opponents average.

Atlanta connects on 10.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league), 1.2 fewer than its opponents (11.9).

The Hawks rank fifth in the league by averaging 114.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 29th in the NBA, allowing 116.5 points per 100 possessions.

The Hawks have scored at a higher rate in home games than on the road in the 2022-23 season (117.3 at home versus 117.2 on the road), though they have given up fewer points in home games than on the road (116.2 opponent points per home game versus 118.7 on the road).

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors put up 118.3 points per game (second in league) while giving up 117.7 per contest (25th in NBA). They have a +37 scoring differential.

The 44 rebounds per game Golden State accumulates rank 10th in the league. Their opponents pull down 43.8.

The Warriors knock down 16.7 three-pointers per game (first in the league) while shooting 38.5% from deep (third-best in NBA). They are making 3.7 more threes than their opponents, who drain 13 per game at 36.5%.

The Warriors rank 13th in the NBA with 112.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 14th defensively with 111.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Golden State is scoring 2.7 more points per game at home (119.6) than on the road (116.9).

Hawks Key Players to Watch

The Hawks active leader in points and assists this season is Young, who scores 27 points per game to go with 10.1 assists.

Clint Capela contributes with 11 boards and 0.8 assists per game in addition to his 12 PPG scoring average.

Young makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Hawks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.2 per contest.

Dejounte Murray averages 1.6 steals per game, while Onyeka Okongwu swats 1.2 shots per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole racks up 20.5 points per game. He also adds 2.8 rebounds per outing and 4.6 assists per contest.

This season, Kevon Looney has a statline of seven points, 2.4 assists and 9.1 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson averages 4.3 made threes per game.

The Warriors’ defensive effort gets a boost from Donte DiVincenzo (1.3 steals per game) and Draymond Green (0.8 blocks per game).

• Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (247.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Hawks 119 – Warriors 117