Hawks vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks (38-39) will look to fend off Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks (37-41) on April 2, 2023. The Hawks are a 3-point favorite. A 246-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

Hawks vs. Mavericks Odds

• Hawks odds to win: -150
• Mavericks odds to win: +128
• Spread: Hawks (-3)
• Total: 246

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
• Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: NBA TV, BSSE, and BSSW

Who Will Win Hawks vs. Mavericks?

Hawks and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Hawks are 12-19-1 against the spread.

The Mavericks have a 10-11-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 3 points or more.

The two teams average a combined 14.2 fewer points per game (231.8) than this game’s total of 246 points.

Atlanta and Dallas have seen its opponents average a combined 14.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 246 set for this game.

The Hawks’ average point total in matchups this year is 235.8, 10.2 points fewer than the over/under in this game.

The average total in Dallas’ games this year is 18.6 fewer points than the point total of 246 in this outing.

Atlanta is 33-42-2 against the spread this season.

The Mavericks have a 28-46-4 record against the spread this season.

Hawks Stats & Insights

The Hawks average 117.9 points per game (fourth in the league) while giving up 117.9 per contest (24th in the NBA). They have a -3 scoring differential overall.

The Hawks rank ninth in the league at 44.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.2 their opponents average.

Atlanta hits 10.7 three-pointers per game (26th in the league) at a 35.3% rate (20th in the NBA), compared to the 11.9 per contest its opponents make while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc.

The Hawks score 115.0 points per 100 possessions (fifth in the league), while giving up 116.6 points per 100 possessions (28th in the NBA).

The Hawks’ offense has been much better in home games (118.6 PPG) compared to away games (117.2 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better in home games (116.6 PPG allowed) when compared to road games (119.2 PPG allowed).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks put up 113.9 points per game (16th in league) while allowing 113.5 per outing (15th in NBA). They have a +28 scoring differential.

Dallas is 30th in the NBA at 38.5 rebounds per game. That’s 5.6 fewer than the 44.1 its opponents average.

The Mavericks hit 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) while shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc (ninth-best in NBA). They are making 4.0 more threes than their opponents, who drain 11.1 per game at 35.1%.

The Mavericks average 114.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (eighth in league), and allow 113.8 points per 100 possessions (20th in NBA).

In 2022-23 Dallas is averaging 2.5 more points per game at home (115.2) than on the road (112.7).

Hawks Key Players to Watch

The active leader in points and assists for the Hawks this season is Young, who scores 26.3 points and distributes 9.9 assists per game.

Clint Capela’s averages this season are 12.0 points, 11.1 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game.

Young makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Hawks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.2 per contest.

Dejounte Murray averages 1.5 steals per game, while Onyeka Okongwu swats 1.3 shots per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic has shown out this season to lead active Mavericks players in points (32.9 per game), rebounds (8.7 per game), and assists (8.1 per game).

Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 3.0 made threes per game.

The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a boost from Doncic’s 1.4 steals and Christian Wood’s 1.0 block per game.

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 3)
• Pick OU:

  Under (246)
  

• Prediction:
  Hawks 117 – Mavericks 114