Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 05-22-2023 MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in MLB action from American Family Field on Monday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Houston is a -115 road favorite while Milwaukee is a -105 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 8 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Cristian Javier will start for Houston and is 4-1 with a 3.25 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Milwaukee will start Corbin Burnes here and he is 4-3 with a 3.48 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Milwaukee won the last meeting between these two teams, 4-2, back on September 3, 2019, making it 10 straight meetings without back-to-back winners.

Trends

Houston is 31-12 in their last 43 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 games against the NL Central while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 series-opening games. Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10 home games and 1-4 in their last 5 games overall while the under is 12-4 in their last 16 games against the AL West.

Pick

I’m backing the Astros here. It’s a bit hard to turn down plus money with the Brewers at home with Burnes on the hill, but the Astros are white hot right now and are not a team I’m really looking to go against now that they have Jose Altuve back in the fold. Burnes has also had issues as of late at home and I think the Astros could get to him here. Even if it’s a tight game throughout, I favor the Astros bullpen more than I do Milwaukee’s, so give me Houston at the cheap price.