Kurt Holobaugh vs Trey Ogden Pick, 3/23/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 89 Odds

Saturday, March 23, 2024

Kurt Holobaugh will enter the Octagon with Trey Ogden at UFC Vegas 89 on Saturday, March 23, 2024. The moneyline has Holobaugh at +124 while Ogden is coming in at -148.

Kurt Holobaugh walks into the Octagon holding a record of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Trey "Samurai Ghost" Ogden comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old has a reach of 72". With respect to significant strikes, Kurt Holobaugh is landing 4.89 per min while Trey Ogden is connecting on 3.64 significant strikes per minute. Holobaugh is landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Ogden lands 47%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Holobaugh absorbs 4.44 significant strikes per minute and "Samurai Ghost" takes 4.02. Holobaugh also stops 48% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Ogden deflects 58% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Kurt Holobaugh is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.87 times per 15 min. Holobaugh is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of the times he tries and defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Ogden is finishing his takedowns on 16% of his takedown tries and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Holobaugh is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 1.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Ogden attempts 0.8 submissions per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Kurt Holobaugh squared up with Austin Hubbard and ended up getting the win by a triangle choke in round 2. Hubbard landed 61 of 125 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Holobaugh ended the night having landed 85 of 144 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Hubbard ended up landing 44 of 107, which gave him a percentage of 41%. He landed 25 of 86 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Holobaugh ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by connecting on 61 of 119. Of those significant strikes, he landed 46 of 101 to the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Hubbard and 81% of them connected on by Holobaugh were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Trey Ogden, he fought Nikolas Motta and the fight ended in a no contest by way of an arm triangle from Ogden that was overturned in round 3. Motta landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Ogden ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Ogden connected on 69% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 58 of 83. He ended up connecting on 49 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. Motta landed 14 of 80 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 8 of 73 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Motta ended up connecting on 16 of 82 while Ogden connected on 96 of 128 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ricardo Ramos faces off against Julian Erosa. Ramos walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Erosa measures in at 6'1" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 28-12-0. The 34-year-old stretches 74". Regarding grappling, Ricardo Ramos is able to score a takedown 2.79 times per 3 rds and Julian Erosa is able to score a takedown 1.66 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Ramos tags his opponents 3.21 strikes per min and lands 37% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Julian Erosa, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 6.22 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Cody Gibson is set to square up against Miles Johns. Johns walks into the cage holding a record of 13-2-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Gibson measures in at 5'10" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 20-9-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Concerning grappling, Miles Johns curbs 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 21% of his attempts. Gibson is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of his tries and is able to curb 64% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Johns is taking 2.75 strikes/minute and he connects on 3.51 per minute. Gibson, in contrast, absorbs 4.73 strikes per min and is connecting on 4.75 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Trey Ogden (-148)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks