Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Cleveland Guardians (47-49) are looking for continued power from a slugger on a roll versus the Philadelphia Phillies (52-44) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Progressive Field. Josh Bell is riding a two-game homer streak.

The Guardians (+103 underdog on the moneyline) hit the field versus the Phillies (-122). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

The insights in this article reflect odds as of July 21, 2023 at 7:16 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Phillies vs Guardians Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 35, or 60.3%, of the 58 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia is 29-16 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 96 games with a total.
• The Phillies are 42-54-0 ATS in their 96 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Guardians Betting Insights

• The Guardians have come away with 18 wins in the 43 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a win-loss record of 14-20 when favored by +103 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 96 opportunities.
• The Guardians have posted a record of 48-48-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Phillies or Guardians, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez

• Suarez and his team are 7-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
• Suarez will look to finish five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
• He has made 12 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
• When Suarez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-2.
• Suarez’s team has won seven of his 12 starts this season.
• Out of Suarez’s 12 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams

• Williams makes the start for the Guardians, his sixth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.94 ERA and 23 strikeouts over 29 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• Williams is seeking his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 innings per start.
• He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
• The Guardians were the moneyline underdog for two Williams starts this season — they lost both.
• Williams’ team has won three of his five starts.
• Williams has had five starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those matchups.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Phillies Hitting Trends

• The Phillies have hit two or more homers in 29 games this season, and are 22-7 in those outings.
• Philadelphia has gone 18-6 in its 24 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has collected at least eight hits in 63 games this season, and is 41-22 in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a 37-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Phillies are 22-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 13-4 in those matchups.
• In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-5.
• They have won 33 of the 60 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• Cleveland has won 28 of its 35 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• They have a 13-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.