Miami Marlins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

The Miami Marlins (37-29) and Seattle Mariners (31-33) open a 3-game set Monday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Marlins won last season’s series 2-1

The Marlins won 6-5 as +103 underdogs at the Chicago White Sox Sunday. Miami has won 8 of its last 9 contests and is 3 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the lead in the NL East.

The Mariners lost 9-4 as -117 favorites at the Los Angeles Angels Sunday. Seattle has lost 3 of its last 4 games and sits 4th in the AL West.

Marlins at Mariners projected starters

LHP Jesús Luzardo vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Luzardo (5-4, 3.79 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 73 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 8 K in a 6-1 win vs. Kansas City Royals Tuesday
• Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 2.55 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 4 HR, 3 BB, 24 K in 2 starts and 3 relief appearances

Miller (3-3, 4.46 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 12-3 loss at Texas Rangers June 4
• First career start vs. Marlins

Marlins at Mariners odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

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Marlins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 4, Mariners 3

BET MARLINS (+100).

Miami has the more experienced pitcher with Luzardo on the mound and is 7-0 in its last 7 games after allowing 5 or more runs in its previous contest. While better numbers were available overnight for Miami ML, at least you can still get even money on this Marlins team that has won 8 of its last 9 games.

Seattle is just 1-5 in its last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record and Miller has allowed 7 or more runs in back-to-back starts.

PASS.

Miami +1.5 (-210) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Marlins should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

The Under is 4-1 in Miami’s last 5 games and 5-1 in its last 6 after allowing 5 or more runs.

The Under has hit in Seattle’s last 8 interleague games vs. left-handed starters and should cash again Monday with Luzardo on the mound for Miami.

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