Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions
The Milwaukee Brewers (77-61) and Pittsburgh Pirates (64-75) meet Wednesday for their final matchup of the season. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 8-4
The Brewers won 7-3 as a -171 road favorite in Tuesday’s 2nd game of the series. Milwaukee scored 6 of its 7 runs in the 5th inning and SP Brandon Woodruff pitched 7 scoreless innings with 6 strikeouts while only allowing 2 hits and 2 walks.
The Brewers are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and are 37-33 on the road. Pittsburgh is 33-37 at home and is also 6-4 in its last 10 overall.
Brewers at Pirates projected starters
RHP Freddy Peralta vs. TBD
Peralta (11-8, 3.85 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 145 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB 10 K in a 7-5 home win Friday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Career vs. Pittsburgh: 2-1, 3.03 ERA (68 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 19 appearances (10 starts)
No Pirates starter announced at time of publishing.
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Brewers at Pirates odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.
Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 7, Pirates 4
PASS.
I like the Brewers to win, but at (-185) the line is not worth the risk. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.
BET BREWERS -1.5 (-110).
The Brewers hold a 6-4 lead in the last 10 matchups and are better on the road than the Pirates are at home. The Brewers are also 5-0 in Peralta’s last 5 starts and 5 of their last 6 wins vs. Pittsburgh have come by 2 or more runs.
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).
This is a very slight lean as both the Over and Under have been very even recently for both teams.
The Over is 6-3 in the last 9 meetings between the Brewers and Pirates and the Over is also 6-4 in the Pirates’ last 10 games overall. For Peralta the Over is 4-1 in his last 5 starts overall and hit in his last start vs. Pittsburgh.
