NFL Player Props Week 3: Predictions, Picks for Thursday

Sportsbook Review's betting analysts, Jon Metler and Neil Parker, are sharing their top NFL player props for Week 3 of the NFL season, with these picks based on the NFL odds from our best NFL prop betting sites.

Our Week 2 NFL player props closely mirrored the performance of the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 2 against the Buffalo Bills, where the Raiders suffered a 38-10 defeat. Similar to the Raiders, we weren't shut out, but we certainly took a hit.

The good news is that everyone loves a comeback story. Just because the numbers didn't go our way in Week 2—just ask Neil Parker, who got hooked on his Tua Tagovailoa and Rhamondre Stevenson bets—it doesn't mean they won't break our way in Week 3.

There's still a lot of football left, and a couple of red X's won't deter us. We'll continue to monitor the betting markets and run simulations to help find edges in the player props.

Our best NFL player props for Thursday are the perfect complement to our Giants vs. 49ers predictions and Thursday Night Football player props (odds via ourbest NFL betting sites; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

NFL player props for Week 3

• Daniel Jones Over 20.5 pass completions (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

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NFL player props for Thursday Week 3

Daniel Jones Over 20.5 pass completions (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

This bet hinges on the Giants' potential game plan, given the 10-point spread against the 49ers on Thursday Night Football. If the Giants trail or get blown out, expect a pass-heavy strategy, with the 49ers likely allowing short completions to eat up the clock and prevent big plays.

The Giants' offensive line has also been struggling, and it won't get any easier against the 49ers' front, so the ball could come out quickly for easy completions. Additionally, there will be added emphasis on the passing game with Saquon Barkley sidelined due to injury.

Jones is projected to complete 21.1 passes against the 49ers, which doesn't feel like it's much over the total of 20.5 pass completions, but it's the juice that is in our favor here. With this projection, we can price Jones at -110 to complete more than 20.5 passes, giving us an edge over the +105 price point via DraftKings.

If the +105 bet via DraftKings disappears, don't hesitate to consider the Over 19.5 (-130) via BetRivers. You're paying more juice, but the Over 19.5 at BetRivers actually has a higher expected value than, for example, playing the Over 20.5 (-102) at FanDuel.

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Pick made by Jon Metler (SBR | )

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