Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Clay Collard Betting Analysis & Prediction
The 2023 PFL Championships are set to take place this Friday, November 24th from Washington D.C. and every weight class will have a crowned champion who will be $1 million wealthier. The main event bout is for the lightweight title between reigning champion Olivier Aubin-Mercier and the red-hot Clay Collard.
Aubin-Mercier vs. CollardPicks
- Pick: The healthier man wins and in this case, that’s probably Aubin-Mercier
Read more for the official Aubin-Mercier vs. Collard prediction ahead of placing your bets on this week’s massive card.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Clay Collard Information
Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Clay Collard
Location of the game: The Anthem, Washington D.C., United States
Date & Time: November 24, 2023. 5 PM ET prelims start
How to Watch: ESPN, ESPN+, ESPN+ PPV
Last Fight Record
Aubin-Mercier is coming off a dominant semi-final win over Bruno Miranda in August via second-round TKO.
Collard is coming off an impressive performance in a win over Shane Burgos in the semifinals this August.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Clay Collard Analysis
Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Aubin-Mercier is a Canadian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 20-5 with 4 TKO/KO wins and 8 submissions. He is also a former UFC athlete who participated in TUF but didn’t realize his potential until he gained his confidence in the PFL when he joined the league in 2021. He’s also a former member of the Canadian National Judo Team.
Following his 2022 world championship triumph, ‘The Canadian Gangster’ has delivered three remarkable performances in the 2023 season. According to the PFL’s Cagenomics technology in their “SmartCage,” Aubin-Mercier has landed 208/332 strikes, has a max punch speed of 19.71 MPH this year, and has his only three finishes in the PFL all within the last calendar year.
Clay Collard
Collard is an American mixed martial artist and professional boxer with a professional MMA record of 24-10 with 11 TKO/KO wins and 3 submissions. He’s also a former UFC athlete and has been arguably the busiest fighter at this level over the last 3 years. Since the start of 2020, he has competed in 9 boxing matches and 8 MMA fights.
According to Cagenomics, Collard has landed 420/869 strikes (most in the PFL) and has a max punch speed of 30.93 MPH (2nd fastest in PFL) this season. He’s also physically larger than Aubin-Mercier, listed at 6’0” with a 74” reach.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the PFL or ESPN.
Aubin-Mercier vs. Collard Betting Preview
If you want to bet on MMA fights tonight, this is the place to be. You will need to make the Aubin-Mercier vs. Collard prediction based on what the betting odds say and how the two fighters clash in styles while in the cage.
According to MMA odds, Aubin-Mercier is a -255 betting favorite over the +205 Collard. There are no other lines available right now this early in the week, but watch your sportsbooks closely over the holiday to see any other lines to take advantage of for this fight.
In terms of style, this fight is quite an awkward clash between two very different fighters. Aubin-Mercier will probably never let his pride steer him away from the game plan and getting his hand raised. He is a great Judo fighter that can take anyone down from just about any position in the clinch, and then hold them there for a full round.
Collard is a fan-favorite kind of fighter. He aims to turn every fight into a gritty battle, confident in his ability to triumph in such challenging wars. He has probably the slickest boxing skills in the PFL, but that comes with him struggling against low-leg kicks and wrestling.
Also, a key factor to remember is that Collard just got out of one of the best fights in PFL history in August against Shane Burgos where he took a lot of damage to his legs and head. That was less than three months ago.
Aubin-Mercier vs. Collard Betting Prediction
MMA predictions with athletes competing at this level are probably the hardest to get correct in any sport. To ensure value for your hard-earned money, you must approach sports betting in MMA with careful and calculated strategies.
With that being said, the official Aubin-Mercier vs. Collard prediction is that Aubin-Mercier will become back-to-back PFL lightweight champion. Collard’s inspiring journey evokes support, yet Aubin-Mercier is determined to do whatever it takes to secure his victory.
The healthier man wins and in this case, that’s probably Aubin-Mercier. He plans to utilize leg kicks from a distance and aims to engage in wrestling whenever Collard enters the boxing range.
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