Phillies Vs Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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05 May 2023

Phillies Vs Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) carry a five-game losing run into a home matchup versus the Boston Red Sox (19-14), at 7:05 PM ET on Friday.

The Phillies are favored (-167 on the moneyline) when they host the Red Sox (+142). The contest has a set total of 8.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of May 5, 2023 at 7:13 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Phillies vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

The Phillies have won nine, or 56.2%, of the 16 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
Philadelphia is 5-3 this season when entering a game favored by -167 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 62.5%.
So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of 32 games with a total.
In 32 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 14-18-0 ATS.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Red Sox Betting Insights

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (50%) in those contests.
Boston has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +142 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Boston and its opponents have gone over in 23 of its 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
The Red Sox are 21-12-0 against the spread in their 33 games that had a posted line this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

When Wheeler starts, his team is 4-2-0 against the spread this season.
The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Houston Astros.
Wheeler has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
Wheeler’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
In games Wheeler has started, his team is 4-2.
In Wheeler’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale

Sale makes the start for the Red Sox, his seventh of the season. He is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings pitched.
In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, the left-hander threw 6 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
Sale will try to build upon a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.9 frames per outing).
The Red Sox were the moneyline underdog for one Sale start this season — they lost.
Sale’s team has won four of his six starts.
Sale’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of six games.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Phillies Hitting Trends

The Phillies are 8-1 this season in games when they send out two or more bombs.
Philadelphia has had at least five extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 8-2 in those contests.
The team is 12-10 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
Philadelphia is 9-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
The Phillies are 3-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

They are 10-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
Boston has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
They have a record of 15-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
Boston has won 17 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
They have won seven of their nine games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+142)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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