StaTuesday: A look at Brewers' World Series odds Wisconsin News
The Milwaukee Brewers will be one of 12 teams with a chance to claim the 2023 World Series.
The Brewers are set to win the National League Central Division (look, if Milwaukee gets swept at home against St. Louis and the Chicago Cubs take three games on the road at Atlanta then come into American Family Field and win three straight there, feel free to come at us for slightly jumping the gun). However, Milwaukee won't get a first-round bye and will be forced to play a best-of-3 wild-card series, albeit every game will be at home.
It's easy to say the Brewers have a 1-in-12 shot to win the title.
Of course, it's not that simple.
Milwaukee will have to get past the first round then face a Los Angeles Dodgers team (likely; L.A. sits four games behind Atlanta for the top seed) which had an extra week of rest.
Also, not all teams are created equal. Some are given better chances to win it all than others. With that being said, here's a look at the odds some sites give Milwaukee to progress through the 2023 postseason.
The Brewers are given a 62.5% chance to make the Divisional Series, 30.5% to make the NCLS and 14.4% to take the National League flag and make the World Series.
Milwaukee has, according to the site, an 8.2% chance of winning the championship. That is unsurprisingly the lowest among the three NL division winners -- Atlanta is at 18.0% and Los Angeles 16.9%. It is higher, though, than Texas (6.8%), the current leader in the American League West, and Minnesota (4.4%), champions of the AL Central.
However, the Brewers' odds are lower than the top NL wild-card team -- Philadelphia, which is at 8.7%.
Like baseball-reference, PlayoffStatus.com gives percentage for each round.
In this case, Milwaukee is given the sixth-best odds to win the World Series, albeit at 5%. Listed higher are the Braves (25%), Orioles (20%), Dodgers (17%), Rays (9%) and Rangers (7%),
The Brewers are given a 63% chance to make the NLDS and 26% chance the NLCS with 10% odds to make the World Series.
The site only gives making the postseason and winning the World Series percentages. Milwaukee is given 5.8% to win it all. For reference, the Braves (24.4%), Dodgers (14.5%), Astros (9.4%), Phillies (8.6%), Rangers (8.4%), Orioles (6.2%) and Blue Jays (5.9%) are all given higher odds.
We are not here to promote wagering but this offers a look at who is considered the favorite and which teams are longshots.
The Brewers are trending at +900 (spend $10, win $90) to win the NL pennant -- that's the odds laid by BetRivers, FanDuel and PointsBet. Caesars as Milwaukee at +950 while DraftKings is at +800 with bet36 the lowest at +750. All the sites have something in common though: The Brewers have the fourth-highest odds to win the pennant behind Atlanta, L.A. and Philadelphia.
When it comes to winning the World Series, most of the above gambling sites have the Brewers at worse odds than the Twins (generally speaking, Minnesota is at +1800 and Milwaukee +2000). Those odds put the Brewers at eighth to capture the 2023 title.
No one, of course, truly knows who will win the World Series. Some teams look great on paper but, as they say, in a short series anything can happen.
Let's look at the last 10 World Series (during full seasons, thus excluding 2020).
The Brewers are currently at 88 wins and should finish around the 91-92 range. Guess what? Despite the odds, that gives them as good a chance as anyone, if history is our guide.
2014: Giants -- 88 wins (won WS); Royals -- 89 wins.
2018: Dodgers -- 92 wins.
2019: Nationals -- 93 wins (won WS).
2021: Braves -- 88 wins (won WS).
2022: Phillies -- 87 wins.
As seen above, anything is indeed possible. Bring on October.
