Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

A pair of the league’s best scorers face off when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (fourth, 30.1 PPG) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (13-7) host Stephen Curry (sixth, 29.2 PPG) and the Golden State Warriors (10-11) on Friday, December 8, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET on NBCS. The Thunder are 3.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under set at 234 points.

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds

How to Bet on Thunder vs. Warriors

Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Warriors?

Thunder and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 3.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 6-1 record against the spread.

The Warriors are 2-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

These two teams average a combined 233.4 points per game, 0.6 fewer points than the over/under of 234 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.7 fewer points per game (225.3) than this game’s over/under of 234 points.

The Thunder’s average point total in outings this season is 230.1, 3.9 points below the total in this game.

The average over/under in Golden State’s games this season is 5.4 fewer points than the point total of 234 for this outing.

So far this season, Oklahoma City has compiled a 14-5-1 record against the spread.

The Warriors are 8-12-1 ATS this season.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder average 118.8 points per game (sixth in the league) while giving up 111.3 per outing (ninth in the NBA). They have a +150 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.5 points per game.

The Thunder lose the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. They record 41.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 26th in the league, while their opponents grab 46.5 per outing.

Oklahoma City knocks down 13 three-pointers per game (11th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.3. It shoots 39.6% from deep while its opponents hit 35.1% from long range.

The Thunder rank sixth in the league by averaging 119.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are sixth in the NBA, allowing 111.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Thunder have been much better offensively at home, where they average 121.3 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 116.3 per game. Defensively, they are much worse when playing at home, where they concede 115.4 points per game, versus on the road, where they let their opponents to average 107.2 per game.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors put up 114.6 points per game (12th in league) while allowing 114 per contest (19th in NBA). They have a +11 scoring differential.

Golden State averages 46.7 rebounds per game (fourth in league) while conceding 44.2 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.5 boards per game.

The Warriors hit 14.5 three-pointers per game (sixth-most in the league), 2.3 more than their opponents. They are shooting 36.6% from deep (11th in NBA), and opponents are shooting 34.9%.

The Warriors score 115.3 points per 100 possessions (15th in league), while giving up 114.7 points per 100 possessions (15th in NBA).

At home Golden State is putting up 111.6 points per game, 6.2 fewer points than it is averaging away (117.8).

Thunder Key Players to Watch

The Thunder active leader in points and assists this season is Gilgeous-Alexander, who scores 30.1 points per game along with 6.3 assists.

Chet Holmgren contributes with 7.9 boards and 2.6 assists per game in addition to his 16.9 PPG scoring average.

Isaiah Joe leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.6 steals per game, while Holmgren swats 2.4 shots per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Curry tallies 29.2 points per game. He also contributes 5.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game this season.

This season, Kevon Looney has a statline of 5.8 points, 2.7 assists and 8.6 rebounds per game.

Curry cashes in on 5.1 treys per game.

The Warriors’ defensive efforts get a lift from Chris Paul (1.4 steals per game) and Klay Thompson (0.6 blocks per game).

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