Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings odds, picks and predictions

Austin American Statesman
 
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs (8-5-2) square off against the Detroit Red Wings (8-5-3) as part of the NHL Global Series on Friday. Puck drop from Avicii Arena in Stockholm, Sweden, is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Maple Leafs last played on Saturday in a 5-2 victory against the Vancouver Canucks to cover as a -120 home favorite. Five Leafs players scored while RW William Nylander extended his franchise-record season-opening point streak to 15 games. It was the 1st time this season Toronto allowed fewer than 4 goals at home.

Detroit fell 5-4 in overtime against the Ottawa Senators on Thursday night in Stockholm with Ottawa covering as the -125 favorite. D Shayne Gostisbehere had a goal and 2 assists in the loss. Detroit outshot Ottawa 41-34 and scored all 4 goals in the 2nd period before conceding a goal just 5 minutes into overtime.

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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 a.m. ET.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings projected goalies

Joseph Woll (5-4-0, 2.91 GAA, .908 SV%) vs. Ville Husso (6-3-1, 3.61 GAA, .885 SV%)

Woll has been the most consistent Leafs goalie this season appearing in 9 games to 6 for Illya Samsonov. Woll has saved over 90% of shots this season and has played significantly better in his 5 wins than his 4 losses. In the wins, Woll has allowed just 1.5 goals per game, but in the losses he's allowed 4.59. He has allowed 19 goals in his last 4 games.

Husso has played in 10 games this season to 5 for James Reimer. Husso has given up 16 goals in his last 4 games, and the Wings are 3-1 in that span. His save percentage of 88.5% ranks just 44th overall.

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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Wings 5, Maple Leafs 4

BET RED WINGS +135.

While Toronto has the advantage of fresh legs having not played since Saturday, Detroit holds the advantage of already playing in Sweden which will aid them on Friday. While the Leafs have come out on the winning side of an overtime game and a shootout in their last 5 games, the have not played a road game since Nov. 2. Without the home crowd behind them, they are 3-3 this season.

PASS. The odds are better on the Red Wings' moneyline.

BET OVER 6.5 (-130).

Both goaltenders have been notorious for allowing goals this season with a combined 35 goals allowed in their previous 4 games. The Red Wings are coming off a game in which 9 total goals were scored and the Maple Leafs are coming off a 7-goal game.

The last 5 Toronto games have eclipsed 6 goals while 4 of the last 5 Detroit games have eclipsed 6 goals.